Recent April inflation data at 2.6% month-over-month, down from 3.4% in March and slightly above the 2.5% consensus, anchors trader sentiment for the May print by reinforcing Argentina’s ongoing disinflation path under tighter monetary policy. Market-implied odds place the strongest weight on the 2.2–2.4% bin, reflecting expectations that the sequential slowdown will extend amid stable exchange rates and subdued wage pressures, though the 3.1–3.3% range retains notable support given persistent regulated-price adjustments. Analysts have lifted their full-year 2026 forecast to 30.5%, underscoring inertia in core measures. The May release, due in early June, remains the key near-term catalyst that will either validate the current pricing or prompt repricing across bins.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডArgentina Monthly Inflation - May
2.2–2.4% 54%
2.5–2.7% 30%
≤2.1% 25%
3.1–3.3% 24%
$46,561 Vol.
$46,561 Vol.
≤2.1%
25%
2.2–2.4%
44%
2.5–2.7%
30%
2.8–3.0%
11%
3.1–3.3%
24%
3.4–3.6%
22%
3.7–3.9%
21%
4.0%+
10%
2.2–2.4% 54%
2.5–2.7% 30%
≤2.1% 25%
3.1–3.3% 24%
$46,561 Vol.
$46,561 Vol.
≤2.1%
25%
2.2–2.4%
44%
2.5–2.7%
30%
2.8–3.0%
11%
3.1–3.3%
24%
3.4–3.6%
22%
3.7–3.9%
21%
4.0%+
10%
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April inflation data at 2.6% month-over-month, down from 3.4% in March and slightly above the 2.5% consensus, anchors trader sentiment for the May print by reinforcing Argentina’s ongoing disinflation path under tighter monetary policy. Market-implied odds place the strongest weight on the 2.2–2.4% bin, reflecting expectations that the sequential slowdown will extend amid stable exchange rates and subdued wage pressures, though the 3.1–3.3% range retains notable support given persistent regulated-price adjustments. Analysts have lifted their full-year 2026 forecast to 30.5%, underscoring inertia in core measures. The May release, due in early June, remains the key near-term catalyst that will either validate the current pricing or prompt repricing across bins.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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