Traders assign an 87% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England’s policy rate at the June meeting, with a 13% chance of a 25-basis-point hike and negligible odds for any cut or larger move. This consensus stems from the latest CPI release showing persistent but non-accelerating services inflation alongside softening labor-market indicators that have tempered expectations for near-term tightening. Recent Monetary Policy Committee minutes underscore a data-dependent stance, with officials highlighting that wage growth remains above target yet broader economic activity has moderated since the prior decision. Market pricing now centers on the upcoming May inflation print and any fresh guidance ahead of the June vote, consistent with historical patterns where the BoE has adjusted rates only after clear, sustained shifts in official data rather than on preliminary signals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডBank of England decision in June?
No change 88%
25 bps increase 13%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$125,837 Vol.
$125,837 Vol.
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
88%
25 bps increase
13%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 88%
25 bps increase 13%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$125,837 Vol.
$125,837 Vol.
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
88%
25 bps increase
13%
50+ bps increase
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign an 87% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England’s policy rate at the June meeting, with a 13% chance of a 25-basis-point hike and negligible odds for any cut or larger move. This consensus stems from the latest CPI release showing persistent but non-accelerating services inflation alongside softening labor-market indicators that have tempered expectations for near-term tightening. Recent Monetary Policy Committee minutes underscore a data-dependent stance, with officials highlighting that wage growth remains above target yet broader economic activity has moderated since the prior decision. Market pricing now centers on the upcoming May inflation print and any fresh guidance ahead of the June vote, consistent with historical patterns where the BoE has adjusted rates only after clear, sustained shifts in official data rather than on preliminary signals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা