The hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI print, accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March—the highest since May 2023—has propelled Polymarket trader consensus toward elevated May annual inflation, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at ≥4.4% (30.5%), 4.3% (27.5%), and 4.2% (23.0%). This competitive positioning reflects uncertainty over whether April's 0.6% monthly surge, fueled by energy and shelter costs alongside a hot producer price index, persists amid mixed labor data and commodity pressures. Key differentiators include upcoming import/export price reports and retail sales, with resolution hinging on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' June 10 release; traders price in persistent upside risks over disinflation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড≥4.4% 31%
4.3% 28%
4.2% 23%
4.1% 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
2%
3.4%
1%
3.5%
2%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
4%
4.0%
3%
4.1%
8%
4.2%
23%
4.3%
28%
≥4.4%
31%
≥4.4% 31%
4.3% 28%
4.2% 23%
4.1% 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$269 Vol.
2%
3.4%
$115 Vol.
1%
3.5%
$511 Vol.
2%
3.6%
$286 Vol.
<1%
3.7%
$240 Vol.
3%
3.8%
$234 Vol.
1%
3.9%
$258 Vol.
4%
4.0%
$361 Vol.
3%
4.1%
$1,348 Vol.
8%
4.2%
$1,382 Vol.
23%
4.3%
$565 Vol.
28%
≥4.4%
$1,796 Vol.
31%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI print, accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March—the highest since May 2023—has propelled Polymarket trader consensus toward elevated May annual inflation, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at ≥4.4% (30.5%), 4.3% (27.5%), and 4.2% (23.0%). This competitive positioning reflects uncertainty over whether April's 0.6% monthly surge, fueled by energy and shelter costs alongside a hot producer price index, persists amid mixed labor data and commodity pressures. Key differentiators include upcoming import/export price reports and retail sales, with resolution hinging on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' June 10 release; traders price in persistent upside risks over disinflation.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
ভলিউম
$7,366শেষ তারিখ
Jun 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI print, accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March—the highest since May 2023—has propelled Polymarket trader consensus toward elevated May annual inflation, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at ≥4.4% (30.5%), 4.3% (27.5%), and 4.2% (23.0%). This competitive positioning reflects uncertainty over whether April's 0.6% monthly surge, fueled by energy and shelter costs alongside a hot producer price index, persists amid mixed labor data and commodity pressures. Key differentiators include upcoming import/export price reports and retail sales, with resolution hinging on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' June 10 release; traders price in persistent upside risks over disinflation.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ভলিউম
$7,366শেষ তারিখ
Jun 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI print, accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March—the highest since May 2023—has propelled Polymarket trader consensus toward elevated May annual inflation, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at ≥4.4% (30.5%), 4.3% (27.5%), and 4.2% (23.0%). This competitive positioning reflects uncertainty over whether April's 0.6% monthly surge, fueled by energy and shelter costs alongside a hot producer price index, persists amid mixed labor data and commodity pressures. Key differentiators include upcoming import/export price reports and retail sales, with resolution hinging on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' June 10 release; traders price in persistent upside risks over disinflation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা