United Russia’s dominant preliminary performance in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election has driven trader consensus toward 355+ seats. Official Central Election Commission tallies after more than 95% of ballots processed show the party at roughly 57.8% of the party-list vote—well above its 49.8% share in 2021—while leading in 208 of 225 single-member districts. These results point to approximately 355 seats once mandates are allocated, securing a constitutional majority above the 301-seat threshold. Pre-election polls from state pollsters had placed support in the low-to-mid 30s to low 50s, making the stronger-than-expected outcome the key recent catalyst. Official final results expected in the coming days will determine exact seat totals and market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
355+ 73.7%
340–354 26.2%
310–324 <1%
325–339 <1%
$2,096,340 Vol.
$2,096,340 Vol.
<280
<1%
280–294
<1%
295–309
<1%
310–324
1%
325–339
<1%
340–354
26%
355+
74%
355+ 73.7%
340–354 26.2%
310–324 <1%
325–339 <1%
$2,096,340 Vol.
$2,096,340 Vol.
<280
<1%
280–294
<1%
295–309
<1%
310–324
1%
325–339
<1%
340–354
26%
355+
74%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
রেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia’s dominant preliminary performance in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election has driven trader consensus toward 355+ seats. Official Central Election Commission tallies after more than 95% of ballots processed show the party at roughly 57.8% of the party-list vote—well above its 49.8% share in 2021—while leading in 208 of 225 single-member districts. These results point to approximately 355 seats once mandates are allocated, securing a constitutional majority above the 301-seat threshold. Pre-election polls from state pollsters had placed support in the low-to-mid 30s to low 50s, making the stronger-than-expected outcome the key recent catalyst. Official final results expected in the coming days will determine exact seat totals and market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডসম্পর্কিত
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win fewer than 45 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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