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নির্বাচন·মধ্যপ্রাচ্য

লেবাননের সংসদীয় নির্বাচন বিজয়ী

icon for লেবাননের সংসদীয় নির্বাচন বিজয়ী
নির্বাচন·মধ্যপ্রাচ্য

লেবাননের সংসদীয় নির্বাচন বিজয়ী

আমল মুভমেন্ট (আমল) 2.3%

ইসলামিক চ্যারিটেবল প্রজেক্টস অ্যাসোসিয়েশন (আইসিপিএ) <1%

Lebanese Forces (LF) <1%

ন্যাশনাল ডায়ালগ পার্টি (এনডিপি) <1%

Polymarket

$666,072 Vol.

আমল মুভমেন্ট (আমল) 2.3%

ইসলামিক চ্যারিটেবল প্রজেক্টস অ্যাসোসিয়েশন (আইসিপিএ) <1%

Lebanese Forces (LF) <1%

ন্যাশনাল ডায়ালগ পার্টি (এনডিপি) <1%

Polymarket

$666,072 Vol.

আমল মুভমেন্ট (আমল)

$63,834 Vol.

2%

ইসলামিক চ্যারিটেবল প্রজেক্টস অ্যাসোসিয়েশন (আইসিপিএ)

$9,181 Vol.

<1%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$167,737 Vol.

<1%

ন্যাশনাল ডায়ালগ পার্টি (এনডিপি)

$46,764 Vol.

<1%

ফ্রি প্যাট্রিয়টিক মুভমেন্ট (এফপিএম)

$79,513 Vol.

<1%

তাকাদ্দম পার্টি

$11,771 Vol.

<1%

লানা – সোশ্যাল ডেমোক্র্যাটিক পার্টি (লানা)

$13,761 Vol.

<1%

ওয়াতানি অ্যালায়েন্স (ওয়াতানি)

$7,539 Vol.

<1%

হিজবুল্লাহ (হেজব)

$52,901 Vol.

<1%

কাতায়েব পার্টি (কাতায়েব)

$7,370 Vol.

<1%

মরাদা মুভমেন্ট (এমএম)

$8,683 Vol.

<1%

ইসলামিক গ্রুপ (আইজি)

$8,631 Vol.

<1%

লেবাননে আরব সমাজতান্ত্রিক বাথ পার্টি (বাথ)

$10,710 Vol.

<1%

খাত আহমার

$9,477 Vol.

<1%

প্রগ্রেসিভ সোশ্যালিস্ট পার্টি (পিএসপি)

$55,015 Vol.

<1%

ইন্ডিপেন্ডেন্স মুভমেন্ট (IM)

$8,894 Vol.

<1%

ন্যাশনাল লিবারেল পার্টি (এনএলপি)

$9,599 Vol.

<1%

মাদা পার্টি (মাদা)

$28,113 Vol.

<1%

ডিগনিটি মুভমেন্ট (ডিএম)

$29,195 Vol.

<1%

ReLebanon

$9,808 Vol.

<1%

Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)

$10,552 Vol.

<1%

Union Party (UP)

$7,759 Vol.

<1%

Popular Nasserist Organization (PNO)

$9,264 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The postponement of Lebanon’s parliamentary elections from May 2026 to 2028, driven by the ongoing war with Israel and Hezbollah, has left the field highly fragmented with no dominant contender. Hezbollah’s military and political setbacks, including leadership losses and reduced support even within Shiite communities, have eroded its prior influence alongside ally Amal, while Christian-led groups such as the Lebanese Forces and reform-oriented independents remain divided. Lebanon’s confessional system and reliance on cross-sectarian coalitions further dilute any single party’s path to a clear plurality. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with negligible implied probabilities across listed parties, as outcomes hinge on post-conflict recovery, diaspora turnout, potential new alliances, and whether weakened “resistance” factions or state-focused blocs can consolidate support before the delayed vote.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ভলিউম
$666,072
শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The postponement of Lebanon’s parliamentary elections from May 2026 to 2028, driven by the ongoing war with Israel and Hezbollah, has left the field highly fragmented with no dominant contender. Hezbollah’s military and political setbacks, including leadership losses and reduced support even within Shiite communities, have eroded its prior influence alongside ally Amal, while Christian-led groups such as the Lebanese Forces and reform-oriented independents remain divided. Lebanon’s confessional system and reliance on cross-sectarian coalitions further dilute any single party’s path to a clear plurality. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with negligible implied probabilities across listed parties, as outcomes hinge on post-conflict recovery, diaspora turnout, potential new alliances, and whether weakened “resistance” factions or state-focused blocs can consolidate support before the delayed vote.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ভলিউম
$666,072
শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

সম্পর্কিত

icon for Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?

Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?

39%
icon for পরবর্তী রুশ সংসদীয় নির্বাচনে ইউনাইটেড রাশিয়া (ইআর) সবচেয়ে বেশি আসন জিতবে কি?

পরবর্তী রুশ সংসদীয় নির্বাচনে ইউনাইটেড রাশিয়া (ইআর) সবচেয়ে বেশি আসন জিতবে কি?

98%
হ্যাঁ
icon for Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?

Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?

36%

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"লেবাননের সংসদীয় নির্বাচন বিজয়ী" হলো Polymarket-এ 23 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "আমল মুভমেন্ট (আমল)" 2%-এ, তারপর "ইসলামিক চ্যারিটেবল প্রজেক্টস অ্যাসোসিয়েশন (আইসিপিএ)" 0%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "লেবাননের সংসদীয় নির্বাচন বিজয়ী" মোট $666.1K ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Jan 6, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"লেবাননের সংসদীয় নির্বাচন বিজয়ী"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 23 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

এটি একটি ওয়াইড-ওপেন মার্কেট। "লেবাননের সংসদীয় নির্বাচন বিজয়ী"-এর বর্তমান লিডার "আমল মুভমেন্ট (আমল)" মাত্র 2%-এ, "ইসলামিক চ্যারিটেবল প্রজেক্টস অ্যাসোসিয়েশন (আইসিপিএ)" কাছাকাছি 0%-এ। কোনো ফলাফল শক্তিশালী সংখ্যাগরিষ্ঠতা পাচ্ছে না বলে, ট্রেডাররা এটিকে অত্যন্ত অনিশ্চিত দেখে, যা অনন্য ট্রেডিং সুযোগ উপস্থাপন করতে পারে।

"লেবাননের সংসদীয় নির্বাচন বিজয়ী"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।