Somaliland's House of Elders (Guurti) approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils on April 28, driving trader consensus to 71.5% on no parliamentary election before 2027, as it postpones the previously scheduled late March 2026 vote amid National Electoral Commission (NEC) preparation challenges and political pressures. Waddani leads at 21.9% implied probability of victory if held, bolstered by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro's decisive 2024 presidential win representing the party against Kulmiye. Justice and Welfare (UCID) trails at 5.2%, with former ruling party Kulmiye at 1.8%, reflecting diminished momentum post-defeat; opposition critiques the extension as eroding democratic norms, though no reversal appears imminent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 57%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 5.2%
Kulmiye 1.8%
Waddani <1%
$18,247 Vol.
$18,247 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
No election before 2027
65%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
5%
Kulmiye
2%
Waddani
23%
No election before 2027 57%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 5.2%
Kulmiye 1.8%
Waddani <1%
$18,247 Vol.
$18,247 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
No election before 2027
$9,899 Vol.
65%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$3,877 Vol.
5%
Kulmiye
$2,458 Vol.
2%
Waddani
$2,013 Vol.
23%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's House of Elders (Guurti) approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils on April 28, driving trader consensus to 71.5% on no parliamentary election before 2027, as it postpones the previously scheduled late March 2026 vote amid National Electoral Commission (NEC) preparation challenges and political pressures. Waddani leads at 21.9% implied probability of victory if held, bolstered by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro's decisive 2024 presidential win representing the party against Kulmiye. Justice and Welfare (UCID) trails at 5.2%, with former ruling party Kulmiye at 1.8%, reflecting diminished momentum post-defeat; opposition critiques the extension as eroding democratic norms, though no reversal appears imminent.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
ভলিউম
$18,247শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's House of Elders (Guurti) approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils on April 28, driving trader consensus to 71.5% on no parliamentary election before 2027, as it postpones the previously scheduled late March 2026 vote amid National Electoral Commission (NEC) preparation challenges and political pressures. Waddani leads at 21.9% implied probability of victory if held, bolstered by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro's decisive 2024 presidential win representing the party against Kulmiye. Justice and Welfare (UCID) trails at 5.2%, with former ruling party Kulmiye at 1.8%, reflecting diminished momentum post-defeat; opposition critiques the extension as eroding democratic norms, though no reversal appears imminent.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
ভলিউম
$18,247শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's House of Elders (Guurti) approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils on April 28, driving trader consensus to 71.5% on no parliamentary election before 2027, as it postpones the previously scheduled late March 2026 vote amid National Electoral Commission (NEC) preparation challenges and political pressures. Waddani leads at 21.9% implied probability of victory if held, bolstered by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro's decisive 2024 presidential win representing the party against Kulmiye. Justice and Welfare (UCID) trails at 5.2%, with former ruling party Kulmiye at 1.8%, reflecting diminished momentum post-defeat; opposition critiques the extension as eroding democratic norms, though no reversal appears imminent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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