Recent polls show the CDU, Linke, AfD, and Greens clustered between 16-22 percent in Berlin’s tight four-way contest ahead of the 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election, producing overlapping seat projections for the CDU in the mid-to-high 20s to low 30s. The July withdrawal of incumbent mayor Kai Wegner amid scrutiny over a January blackout and his replacement by Stefan Evers stabilized but did not lift CDU support enough to restore a clear lead, while the Linke’s rise has further fragmented the vote. With the five-percent threshold and variable turnout still in play, modest shifts in any major party’s share could move the CDU across the 30-seat line or keep it below, sustaining the narrow distribution of trader probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডBerlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?
30-34 28%
35-39 25%
25-29 13%
40-44 11.6%
$11,456 Vol.
$11,456 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<25
1%
25-29
13%
30-34
28%
35-39
25%
40-44
12%
45+
7%
30-34 28%
35-39 25%
25-29 13%
40-44 11.6%
$11,456 Vol.
$11,456 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<25
$764 Vol.
1%
25-29
$3,148 Vol.
13%
30-34
$1,571 Vol.
28%
35-39
$3,125 Vol.
25%
40-44
$665 Vol.
12%
45+
$2,183 Vol.
7%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls show the CDU, Linke, AfD, and Greens clustered between 16-22 percent in Berlin’s tight four-way contest ahead of the 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election, producing overlapping seat projections for the CDU in the mid-to-high 20s to low 30s. The July withdrawal of incumbent mayor Kai Wegner amid scrutiny over a January blackout and his replacement by Stefan Evers stabilized but did not lift CDU support enough to restore a clear lead, while the Linke’s rise has further fragmented the vote. With the five-percent threshold and variable turnout still in play, modest shifts in any major party’s share could move the CDU across the 30-seat line or keep it below, sustaining the narrow distribution of trader probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
ভলিউম
$11,456শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls show the CDU, Linke, AfD, and Greens clustered between 16-22 percent in Berlin’s tight four-way contest ahead of the 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election, producing overlapping seat projections for the CDU in the mid-to-high 20s to low 30s. The July withdrawal of incumbent mayor Kai Wegner amid scrutiny over a January blackout and his replacement by Stefan Evers stabilized but did not lift CDU support enough to restore a clear lead, while the Linke’s rise has further fragmented the vote. With the five-percent threshold and variable turnout still in play, modest shifts in any major party’s share could move the CDU across the 30-seat line or keep it below, sustaining the narrow distribution of trader probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
ভলিউম
$11,456শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the CDU, Linke, AfD, and Greens clustered between 16-22 percent in Berlin’s tight four-way contest ahead of the 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election, producing overlapping seat projections for the CDU in the mid-to-high 20s to low 30s. The July withdrawal of incumbent mayor Kai Wegner amid scrutiny over a January blackout and his replacement by Stefan Evers stabilized but did not lift CDU support enough to restore a clear lead, while the Linke’s rise has further fragmented the vote. With the five-percent threshold and variable turnout still in play, modest shifts in any major party’s share could move the CDU across the 30-seat line or keep it below, sustaining the narrow distribution of trader probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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