Open seat created by Democratic Sen. Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement has not eroded trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold at 91.5%, driven by Minnesota's consistent leftward tilt in federal races—no Republican Senate win since 2002—and strong Democratic fundraising, with Rep. Angie Craig maintaining a cash lead as of mid-April 2026. Recent Public Policy Polling from late April showed Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading the competitive Democratic primary at 44% to Craig's 33%, with nearly a quarter undecided ahead of the August 11 primary; Republicans view Flanagan as potentially weaker but lack a consensus frontrunner. Scenarios challenging this include a national midterm GOP wave, a divisive Democratic nominee, or late-breaking scandal, though structural advantages keep odds firmly Democratic.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$23,149 Vol.
$23,149 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
7%
$23,149 Vol.
$23,149 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$16,428 Vol.
92%
Republican
$6,722 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Open seat created by Democratic Sen. Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement has not eroded trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold at 91.5%, driven by Minnesota's consistent leftward tilt in federal races—no Republican Senate win since 2002—and strong Democratic fundraising, with Rep. Angie Craig maintaining a cash lead as of mid-April 2026. Recent Public Policy Polling from late April showed Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading the competitive Democratic primary at 44% to Craig's 33%, with nearly a quarter undecided ahead of the August 11 primary; Republicans view Flanagan as potentially weaker but lack a consensus frontrunner. Scenarios challenging this include a national midterm GOP wave, a divisive Democratic nominee, or late-breaking scandal, though structural advantages keep odds firmly Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$23,149শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Open seat created by Democratic Sen. Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement has not eroded trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold at 91.5%, driven by Minnesota's consistent leftward tilt in federal races—no Republican Senate win since 2002—and strong Democratic fundraising, with Rep. Angie Craig maintaining a cash lead as of mid-April 2026. Recent Public Policy Polling from late April showed Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading the competitive Democratic primary at 44% to Craig's 33%, with nearly a quarter undecided ahead of the August 11 primary; Republicans view Flanagan as potentially weaker but lack a consensus frontrunner. Scenarios challenging this include a national midterm GOP wave, a divisive Democratic nominee, or late-breaking scandal, though structural advantages keep odds firmly Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$23,149শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Open seat created by Democratic Sen. Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement has not eroded trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold at 91.5%, driven by Minnesota's consistent leftward tilt in federal races—no Republican Senate win since 2002—and strong Democratic fundraising, with Rep. Angie Craig maintaining a cash lead as of mid-April 2026. Recent Public Policy Polling from late April showed Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading the competitive Democratic primary at 44% to Craig's 33%, with nearly a quarter undecided ahead of the August 11 primary; Republicans view Flanagan as potentially weaker but lack a consensus frontrunner. Scenarios challenging this include a national midterm GOP wave, a divisive Democratic nominee, or late-breaking scandal, though structural advantages keep odds firmly Democratic.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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