Betty McCollum's long incumbency in the safely Democratic Saint Paul-centered MN-04 district, where she won reelection with over two-thirds of the vote in 2024, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. She secured the DFL nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary against a minor challenger, while the Republican side advanced Paul Wikstrom with limited visibility or resources. The district's consistent partisan tilt, combined with Minnesota's broader political patterns, has produced minimal movement in implied probabilities despite the general election still months away. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the margin, though historical results indicate these outcomes remain low-probability shifts in this seat.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
$21,271 Vol.
$21,271 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$21,271 Vol.
$21,271 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,902 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$17,370 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum's long incumbency in the safely Democratic Saint Paul-centered MN-04 district, where she won reelection with over two-thirds of the vote in 2024, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. She secured the DFL nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary against a minor challenger, while the Republican side advanced Paul Wikstrom with limited visibility or resources. The district's consistent partisan tilt, combined with Minnesota's broader political patterns, has produced minimal movement in implied probabilities despite the general election still months away. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the margin, though historical results indicate these outcomes remain low-probability shifts in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$21,271শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum's long incumbency in the safely Democratic Saint Paul-centered MN-04 district, where she won reelection with over two-thirds of the vote in 2024, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. She secured the DFL nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary against a minor challenger, while the Republican side advanced Paul Wikstrom with limited visibility or resources. The district's consistent partisan tilt, combined with Minnesota's broader political patterns, has produced minimal movement in implied probabilities despite the general election still months away. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the margin, though historical results indicate these outcomes remain low-probability shifts in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$21,271শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Betty McCollum's long incumbency in the safely Democratic Saint Paul-centered MN-04 district, where she won reelection with over two-thirds of the vote in 2024, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. She secured the DFL nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary against a minor challenger, while the Republican side advanced Paul Wikstrom with limited visibility or resources. The district's consistent partisan tilt, combined with Minnesota's broader political patterns, has produced minimal movement in implied probabilities despite the general election still months away. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the margin, though historical results indicate these outcomes remain low-probability shifts in this seat.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা