South Carolina's strong Republican partisan lean and consistent voting patterns in Senate contests position the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner at 80.5% implied probability. Incumbent Lindsey Graham seeks a fifth term in the November 2026 general election, benefiting from name recognition and the state's R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The June 9 Republican primary will finalize the nominee amid limited intra-party competition, while Democratic candidates including Annie Andrews face an uphill path in a state where Republicans have held the seat since 2003. Trader sentiment aligns with historical base rates for similar Southern Republican strongholds, where Democratic challengers rarely exceed 30% in general elections absent major national shifts. No significant late-breaking developments have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$29,538 Vol.
$29,538 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
81%
Democrat
21%
$29,538 Vol.
$29,538 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$11,169 Vol.
81%
Democrat
$18,369 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's strong Republican partisan lean and consistent voting patterns in Senate contests position the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner at 80.5% implied probability. Incumbent Lindsey Graham seeks a fifth term in the November 2026 general election, benefiting from name recognition and the state's R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The June 9 Republican primary will finalize the nominee amid limited intra-party competition, while Democratic candidates including Annie Andrews face an uphill path in a state where Republicans have held the seat since 2003. Trader sentiment aligns with historical base rates for similar Southern Republican strongholds, where Democratic challengers rarely exceed 30% in general elections absent major national shifts. No significant late-breaking developments have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$29,538শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's strong Republican partisan lean and consistent voting patterns in Senate contests position the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner at 80.5% implied probability. Incumbent Lindsey Graham seeks a fifth term in the November 2026 general election, benefiting from name recognition and the state's R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The June 9 Republican primary will finalize the nominee amid limited intra-party competition, while Democratic candidates including Annie Andrews face an uphill path in a state where Republicans have held the seat since 2003. Trader sentiment aligns with historical base rates for similar Southern Republican strongholds, where Democratic challengers rarely exceed 30% in general elections absent major national shifts. No significant late-breaking developments have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$29,538শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's strong Republican partisan lean and consistent voting patterns in Senate contests position the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner at 80.5% implied probability. Incumbent Lindsey Graham seeks a fifth term in the November 2026 general election, benefiting from name recognition and the state's R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The June 9 Republican primary will finalize the nominee amid limited intra-party competition, while Democratic candidates including Annie Andrews face an uphill path in a state where Republicans have held the seat since 2003. Trader sentiment aligns with historical base rates for similar Southern Republican strongholds, where Democratic challengers rarely exceed 30% in general elections absent major national shifts. No significant late-breaking developments have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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