Ashley Moody's appointment as interim U.S. senator by Gov. Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio's January 2025 resignation to become secretary of state has solidified Republican advantages in this Florida special election, with primaries on August 18 and the general on November 3. Polls from March-April 2026, including Stetson University (Moody 49%-42% over Alex Vindman) and Emerson College, show the Republican incumbent leading Democratic contenders like Vindman and Angie Nixon by 4-13 points, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Rick Scott, plus superior fundraising ($7.1 million cash on hand). Florida's rightward shift—Trump's 13-point 2024 win—and forecasters' Solid/ Likely Republican ratings reflect trader consensus implying strong GOP path to victory despite competitive polling.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$36,912 Vol.
$36,912 Vol.
Republican
84%
Democrat
17%
$36,912 Vol.
$36,912 Vol.
Republican
$19,629 Vol.
84%
Democrat
$17,283 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody's appointment as interim U.S. senator by Gov. Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio's January 2025 resignation to become secretary of state has solidified Republican advantages in this Florida special election, with primaries on August 18 and the general on November 3. Polls from March-April 2026, including Stetson University (Moody 49%-42% over Alex Vindman) and Emerson College, show the Republican incumbent leading Democratic contenders like Vindman and Angie Nixon by 4-13 points, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Rick Scott, plus superior fundraising ($7.1 million cash on hand). Florida's rightward shift—Trump's 13-point 2024 win—and forecasters' Solid/ Likely Republican ratings reflect trader consensus implying strong GOP path to victory despite competitive polling.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ভলিউম
$36,912মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody's appointment as interim U.S. senator by Gov. Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio's January 2025 resignation to become secretary of state has solidified Republican advantages in this Florida special election, with primaries on August 18 and the general on November 3. Polls from March-April 2026, including Stetson University (Moody 49%-42% over Alex Vindman) and Emerson College, show the Republican incumbent leading Democratic contenders like Vindman and Angie Nixon by 4-13 points, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Rick Scott, plus superior fundraising ($7.1 million cash on hand). Florida's rightward shift—Trump's 13-point 2024 win—and forecasters' Solid/ Likely Republican ratings reflect trader consensus implying strong GOP path to victory despite competitive polling.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$36,912মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody's appointment as interim U.S. senator by Gov. Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio's January 2025 resignation to become secretary of state has solidified Republican advantages in this Florida special election, with primaries on August 18 and the general on November 3. Polls from March-April 2026, including Stetson University (Moody 49%-42% over Alex Vindman) and Emerson College, show the Republican incumbent leading Democratic contenders like Vindman and Angie Nixon by 4-13 points, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Rick Scott, plus superior fundraising ($7.1 million cash on hand). Florida's rightward shift—Trump's 13-point 2024 win—and forecasters' Solid/ Likely Republican ratings reflect trader consensus implying strong GOP path to victory despite competitive polling.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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