Recent redistricting by the Florida Legislature, finalized in early May 2026, shifted FL-22 rightward by incorporating more Republican-leaning areas around Palm Beach County, prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate it Lean Republican as of May 12. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, implies a 61% Democratic win probability, reflecting the district's persistent Democratic base and historical performance where Rep. Lois Frankel won by wide margins before announcing her bid for FL-23 on May 7. The open seat features a crowded Republican primary with eight candidates—including recent HUCKPAC endorsee Michael Carbonara—potentially splitting the GOP vote, versus two Democratic contenders, Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle. No public polls yet; August 18 primaries will clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
$14,103 Vol.
$14,103 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
61%
Republican Party
40%
$14,103 Vol.
$14,103 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,816 Vol.
61%
Republican Party
$7,287 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting by the Florida Legislature, finalized in early May 2026, shifted FL-22 rightward by incorporating more Republican-leaning areas around Palm Beach County, prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate it Lean Republican as of May 12. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, implies a 61% Democratic win probability, reflecting the district's persistent Democratic base and historical performance where Rep. Lois Frankel won by wide margins before announcing her bid for FL-23 on May 7. The open seat features a crowded Republican primary with eight candidates—including recent HUCKPAC endorsee Michael Carbonara—potentially splitting the GOP vote, versus two Democratic contenders, Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle. No public polls yet; August 18 primaries will clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
ভলিউম
$14,103শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting by the Florida Legislature, finalized in early May 2026, shifted FL-22 rightward by incorporating more Republican-leaning areas around Palm Beach County, prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate it Lean Republican as of May 12. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, implies a 61% Democratic win probability, reflecting the district's persistent Democratic base and historical performance where Rep. Lois Frankel won by wide margins before announcing her bid for FL-23 on May 7. The open seat features a crowded Republican primary with eight candidates—including recent HUCKPAC endorsee Michael Carbonara—potentially splitting the GOP vote, versus two Democratic contenders, Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle. No public polls yet; August 18 primaries will clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$14,103শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting by the Florida Legislature, finalized in early May 2026, shifted FL-22 rightward by incorporating more Republican-leaning areas around Palm Beach County, prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate it Lean Republican as of May 12. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, implies a 61% Democratic win probability, reflecting the district's persistent Democratic base and historical performance where Rep. Lois Frankel won by wide margins before announcing her bid for FL-23 on May 7. The open seat features a crowded Republican primary with eight candidates—including recent HUCKPAC endorsee Michael Carbonara—potentially splitting the GOP vote, versus two Democratic contenders, Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle. No public polls yet; August 18 primaries will clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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