Texas's 22nd congressional district carries a durable Republican advantage, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 11.5-point margin in 2024. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement opened the seat, yet his twin brother Trever Nehls captured the GOP nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott confronts structural obstacles on the redrawn 2025 map, which forecasters rate Lean or Likely Republican with limited recent polling indicating movement. Trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee tracks these fundamentals and the absence of major campaign shifts. A pronounced national Democratic surge, a significant Republican scandal, or unexpectedly elevated Democratic turnout in suburban Harris County precincts represent the main pathways that could compress the margin.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
$20,282 Vol.
$20,282 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$20,282 Vol.
$20,282 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,693 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$9,589 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district carries a durable Republican advantage, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 11.5-point margin in 2024. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement opened the seat, yet his twin brother Trever Nehls captured the GOP nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott confronts structural obstacles on the redrawn 2025 map, which forecasters rate Lean or Likely Republican with limited recent polling indicating movement. Trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee tracks these fundamentals and the absence of major campaign shifts. A pronounced national Democratic surge, a significant Republican scandal, or unexpectedly elevated Democratic turnout in suburban Harris County precincts represent the main pathways that could compress the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$20,282শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district carries a durable Republican advantage, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 11.5-point margin in 2024. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement opened the seat, yet his twin brother Trever Nehls captured the GOP nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott confronts structural obstacles on the redrawn 2025 map, which forecasters rate Lean or Likely Republican with limited recent polling indicating movement. Trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee tracks these fundamentals and the absence of major campaign shifts. A pronounced national Democratic surge, a significant Republican scandal, or unexpectedly elevated Democratic turnout in suburban Harris County precincts represent the main pathways that could compress the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$20,282শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 22nd congressional district carries a durable Republican advantage, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 11.5-point margin in 2024. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement opened the seat, yet his twin brother Trever Nehls captured the GOP nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott confronts structural obstacles on the redrawn 2025 map, which forecasters rate Lean or Likely Republican with limited recent polling indicating movement. Trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee tracks these fundamentals and the absence of major campaign shifts. A pronounced national Democratic surge, a significant Republican scandal, or unexpectedly elevated Democratic turnout in suburban Harris County precincts represent the main pathways that could compress the margin.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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