The strong Republican lean of Texas's 22nd congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory at 91%. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement created an open seat, but his identical twin Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary by a wide margin against limited opposition. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by multiple forecasters. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign events have emerged in recent months to alter this positioning ahead of the November general election. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national partisan wave, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
$19,841 Vol.
$19,841 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
$19,841 Vol.
$19,841 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,252 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$9,589 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Texas's 22nd congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory at 91%. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement created an open seat, but his identical twin Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary by a wide margin against limited opposition. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by multiple forecasters. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign events have emerged in recent months to alter this positioning ahead of the November general election. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national partisan wave, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$19,841শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Texas's 22nd congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory at 91%. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement created an open seat, but his identical twin Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary by a wide margin against limited opposition. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by multiple forecasters. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign events have emerged in recent months to alter this positioning ahead of the November general election. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national partisan wave, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$19,841শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican lean of Texas's 22nd congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory at 91%. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement created an open seat, but his identical twin Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary by a wide margin against limited opposition. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by multiple forecasters. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign events have emerged in recent months to alter this positioning ahead of the November general election. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national partisan wave, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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