Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood advanced through an uncontested March 17 primary to face Democratic challenger Paul Nolley in the November 3 general election for Illinois' 16th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results. LaHood's dominant 2024 reelection (99.9% of the vote) and substantial fundraising edge—$6.7 million cash on hand as of late March versus Nolley's $160,000—underpin trader consensus favoring Republicans at 87.5%. The district's rural expanse across northern and central Illinois, coupled with historical blowout margins and low Democratic turnout signals from the unopposed primary, position a GOP hold as the baseline expectation barring unforeseen scandals or national wave effects.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
$12,474 Vol.
$12,474 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
10%
$12,474 Vol.
$12,474 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,841 Vol.
88%
Democratic Party
$8,633 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood advanced through an uncontested March 17 primary to face Democratic challenger Paul Nolley in the November 3 general election for Illinois' 16th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results. LaHood's dominant 2024 reelection (99.9% of the vote) and substantial fundraising edge—$6.7 million cash on hand as of late March versus Nolley's $160,000—underpin trader consensus favoring Republicans at 87.5%. The district's rural expanse across northern and central Illinois, coupled with historical blowout margins and low Democratic turnout signals from the unopposed primary, position a GOP hold as the baseline expectation barring unforeseen scandals or national wave effects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$12,474শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood advanced through an uncontested March 17 primary to face Democratic challenger Paul Nolley in the November 3 general election for Illinois' 16th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results. LaHood's dominant 2024 reelection (99.9% of the vote) and substantial fundraising edge—$6.7 million cash on hand as of late March versus Nolley's $160,000—underpin trader consensus favoring Republicans at 87.5%. The district's rural expanse across northern and central Illinois, coupled with historical blowout margins and low Democratic turnout signals from the unopposed primary, position a GOP hold as the baseline expectation barring unforeseen scandals or national wave effects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$12,474শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood advanced through an uncontested March 17 primary to face Democratic challenger Paul Nolley in the November 3 general election for Illinois' 16th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results. LaHood's dominant 2024 reelection (99.9% of the vote) and substantial fundraising edge—$6.7 million cash on hand as of late March versus Nolley's $160,000—underpin trader consensus favoring Republicans at 87.5%. The district's rural expanse across northern and central Illinois, coupled with historical blowout margins and low Democratic turnout signals from the unopposed primary, position a GOP hold as the baseline expectation barring unforeseen scandals or national wave effects.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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