Recent Suffolk University/Boston Globe and UMass Amherst/WCVB polls show incumbent Sen. Ed Markey leading Rep. Seth Moulton by 14–28 points among likely Democratic primary voters ahead of the September 1 contest, with undecideds falling to single digits and voters citing experience and trust as key factors. This polling trend has narrowed the perceived chance of a Moulton upset or sub-10-point Markey win while elevating the odds of a 20–30-point Markey margin as the most plausible range. The final debate and late endorsements have reinforced Markey’s position without shifting the race into a blowout. Traders price “Other” highest, reflecting residual uncertainty over the precise margin, minor-candidate effects, or turnout variables that could push the result outside listed buckets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMassachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Markey 25–30% 32%
Markey 20–25% 32%
Markey 15–20% 31%
Markey 10–15% 28%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 1, 2026
Markey 40%+
24%
Markey 35–40%
24%
Markey 30–35%
26%
Markey 25–30%
32%
Markey 20–25%
32%
Markey 15–20%
31%
Markey 10–15%
28%
Markey 5–10%
22%
Markey <5%
22%
Moulton <5%
26%
Moulton 5%+
10%
Markey 25–30% 32%
Markey 20–25% 32%
Markey 15–20% 31%
Markey 10–15% 28%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 1, 2026
Markey 40%+
$16 Vol.
24%
Markey 35–40%
$16 Vol.
24%
Markey 30–35%
$16 Vol.
26%
Markey 25–30%
$16 Vol.
32%
Markey 20–25%
$16 Vol.
32%
Markey 15–20%
$16 Vol.
31%
Markey 10–15%
$16 Vol.
28%
Markey 5–10%
$16 Vol.
22%
Markey <5%
$16 Vol.
22%
Moulton <5%
$16 Vol.
26%
Moulton 5%+
$101 Vol.
10%
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent Suffolk University/Boston Globe and UMass Amherst/WCVB polls show incumbent Sen. Ed Markey leading Rep. Seth Moulton by 14–28 points among likely Democratic primary voters ahead of the September 1 contest, with undecideds falling to single digits and voters citing experience and trust as key factors. This polling trend has narrowed the perceived chance of a Moulton upset or sub-10-point Markey win while elevating the odds of a 20–30-point Markey margin as the most plausible range. The final debate and late endorsements have reinforced Markey’s position without shifting the race into a blowout. Traders price “Other” highest, reflecting residual uncertainty over the precise margin, minor-candidate effects, or turnout variables that could push the result outside listed buckets.
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
ভলিউম
$261শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.sec.state.ma.us/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent Suffolk University/Boston Globe and UMass Amherst/WCVB polls show incumbent Sen. Ed Markey leading Rep. Seth Moulton by 14–28 points among likely Democratic primary voters ahead of the September 1 contest, with undecideds falling to single digits and voters citing experience and trust as key factors. This polling trend has narrowed the perceived chance of a Moulton upset or sub-10-point Markey win while elevating the odds of a 20–30-point Markey margin as the most plausible range. The final debate and late endorsements have reinforced Markey’s position without shifting the race into a blowout. Traders price “Other” highest, reflecting residual uncertainty over the precise margin, minor-candidate effects, or turnout variables that could push the result outside listed buckets.
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ভলিউম
$261শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.sec.state.ma.us/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Suffolk University/Boston Globe and UMass Amherst/WCVB polls show incumbent Sen. Ed Markey leading Rep. Seth Moulton by 14–28 points among likely Democratic primary voters ahead of the September 1 contest, with undecideds falling to single digits and voters citing experience and trust as key factors. This polling trend has narrowed the perceived chance of a Moulton upset or sub-10-point Markey win while elevating the odds of a 20–30-point Markey margin as the most plausible range. The final debate and late endorsements have reinforced Markey’s position without shifting the race into a blowout. Traders price “Other” highest, reflecting residual uncertainty over the precise margin, minor-candidate effects, or turnout variables that could push the result outside listed buckets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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