Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey maintains a commanding 70.5% implied probability as trader consensus for the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary on September 1, driven by his long-serving status since 1977, strong name recognition from his 2020 primary win over Joe Kennedy, and historical incumbency advantages in safe blue states. Recent Emerson polling from May 3-4 shows the race tightening to 37% Markey versus 32% Rep. Seth Moulton among likely voters, with 29% undecided potentially breaking toward the incumbent, though Moulton's aggressive fundraising—out-raising Markey for two straight quarters through Q1—has fueled his 27.5% standing. Rep. Ayanna Pressley declined a bid in December 2025, while Alex Rikleen trails far behind; upcoming debates could shift dynamics amid high undecideds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডEd Markey 69%
Seth Moulton 27%
Ayanna Pressley <1%
Alexander Rikleen <1%
$13,057 Vol.
$13,057 Vol.
Ed Markey
69%
Seth Moulton
27%
Ayanna Pressley
1%
Alexander Rikleen
<1%
Ed Markey 69%
Seth Moulton 27%
Ayanna Pressley <1%
Alexander Rikleen <1%
$13,057 Vol.
$13,057 Vol.
Ed Markey
69%
Seth Moulton
27%
Ayanna Pressley
1%
Alexander Rikleen
<1%
If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey maintains a commanding 70.5% implied probability as trader consensus for the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary on September 1, driven by his long-serving status since 1977, strong name recognition from his 2020 primary win over Joe Kennedy, and historical incumbency advantages in safe blue states. Recent Emerson polling from May 3-4 shows the race tightening to 37% Markey versus 32% Rep. Seth Moulton among likely voters, with 29% undecided potentially breaking toward the incumbent, though Moulton's aggressive fundraising—out-raising Markey for two straight quarters through Q1—has fueled his 27.5% standing. Rep. Ayanna Pressley declined a bid in December 2025, while Alex Rikleen trails far behind; upcoming debates could shift dynamics amid high undecideds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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