Trader consensus assigns State Sen. Aisha Wahab an 88% implied probability of victory in the CA-14 special general election on August 18, reflecting her frontrunner position in the Democratic-leaning Bay Area district vacated by Rep. Eric Swalwell's recent resignation. Democratic leaders' efforts to clear the nonpartisan primary field on June 16, coupled with recent endorsements from the East Bay Times (May 7) and Indivisible East Bay (April 15), have boosted her momentum over challengers like attorney Rakhi Israni Singh, who led early fundraising but lacks comparable party consolidation. Other candidates trail due to lower name recognition and resources in this safe Democratic seat, though a primary upset remains possible before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-14 Special Election Winner?
CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Aisha Wahab 90%
Rakhi Israni Singh 8.2%
Matt Ortega 5.0%
Carin Elam 3.6%
Aisha Wahab
81%
Melissa Hernandez
4%
Wendy Huang
1%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
5%
Rakhi Israni Singh
8%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
3%
Aisha Wahab 90%
Rakhi Israni Singh 8.2%
Matt Ortega 5.0%
Carin Elam 3.6%
Aisha Wahab
81%
Melissa Hernandez
4%
Wendy Huang
1%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
5%
Rakhi Israni Singh
8%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns State Sen. Aisha Wahab an 88% implied probability of victory in the CA-14 special general election on August 18, reflecting her frontrunner position in the Democratic-leaning Bay Area district vacated by Rep. Eric Swalwell's recent resignation. Democratic leaders' efforts to clear the nonpartisan primary field on June 16, coupled with recent endorsements from the East Bay Times (May 7) and Indivisible East Bay (April 15), have boosted her momentum over challengers like attorney Rakhi Israni Singh, who led early fundraising but lacks comparable party consolidation. Other candidates trail due to lower name recognition and resources in this safe Democratic seat, though a primary upset remains possible before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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