The July 28, 2026 special election in Georgia's 13th Congressional District, triggered by the April death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott, produced no majority winner and advanced a Democratic runoff on August 25 between Marcye Scott and Everton Blair. Scott, the late representative's daughter, captured 46% in the initial round compared with Blair's 37%, while Republican and other Democratic contenders trailed far behind. The heavily Democratic district makes the runoff outcome decisive for filling the remainder of the term. Traders have priced in Scott's substantial primary lead, family name recognition, and local organizational advantages as dominant factors heading into the final week of campaigning. Blair's narrower path would require strong consolidation of the remaining vote share plus unusually high turnout differentials. The implied probabilities align closely with the vote split and the district's consistent partisan patterns in recent cycles.