Texas leads trader expectations for the closest 2026 Senate contest, followed by Iowa, the Ohio special, Alaska, and Maine, reflecting tight polling margins in Republican-held seats featuring strong candidate matchups. Open races and specials create opportunities for narrower outcomes amid uncertain national conditions two months before the November election. Recent Democratic withdrawal in Maine has introduced added volatility there, while Texas and Iowa feature experienced challengers testing entrenched incumbents or successors. Competitive dynamics hinge on turnout in battleground states, fundraising edges, and any late shifts in the midterm environment that could widen or compress final vote shares across these contests.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTexas 26%
Iowa 17.8%
Ohio (Special) 13.8%
Alaska 12%
$28,290 Vol.
$28,290 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
26%
Iowa
18%
Ohio (Special)
14%
Alaska
12%
Maine
9%
Michigan
5%
Nebraska
5%
New Mexico
3%
Florida (Special)
3%
Virginia
2%
North Carolina
2%
New Hampshire
1%
Georgia
1%
Minnesota
1%
Colorado
1%
Montana
<1%
Texas 26%
Iowa 17.8%
Ohio (Special) 13.8%
Alaska 12%
$28,290 Vol.
$28,290 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
$1,078 Vol.
26%
Iowa
$2,736 Vol.
18%
Ohio (Special)
$5,040 Vol.
14%
Alaska
$5,272 Vol.
12%
Maine
$1,285 Vol.
9%
Michigan
$2,490 Vol.
5%
Nebraska
$275 Vol.
5%
New Mexico
$160 Vol.
3%
Florida (Special)
$253 Vol.
3%
Virginia
$5,073 Vol.
2%
North Carolina
$621 Vol.
2%
New Hampshire
$485 Vol.
1%
Georgia
$752 Vol.
1%
Minnesota
$1,489 Vol.
1%
Colorado
$662 Vol.
1%
Montana
$616 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Texas leads trader expectations for the closest 2026 Senate contest, followed by Iowa, the Ohio special, Alaska, and Maine, reflecting tight polling margins in Republican-held seats featuring strong candidate matchups. Open races and specials create opportunities for narrower outcomes amid uncertain national conditions two months before the November election. Recent Democratic withdrawal in Maine has introduced added volatility there, while Texas and Iowa feature experienced challengers testing entrenched incumbents or successors. Competitive dynamics hinge on turnout in battleground states, fundraising edges, and any late shifts in the midterm environment that could widen or compress final vote shares across these contests.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
ভলিউম
$28,290শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Texas leads trader expectations for the closest 2026 Senate contest, followed by Iowa, the Ohio special, Alaska, and Maine, reflecting tight polling margins in Republican-held seats featuring strong candidate matchups. Open races and specials create opportunities for narrower outcomes amid uncertain national conditions two months before the November election. Recent Democratic withdrawal in Maine has introduced added volatility there, while Texas and Iowa feature experienced challengers testing entrenched incumbents or successors. Competitive dynamics hinge on turnout in battleground states, fundraising edges, and any late shifts in the midterm environment that could widen or compress final vote shares across these contests.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$28,290শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Texas leads trader expectations for the closest 2026 Senate contest, followed by Iowa, the Ohio special, Alaska, and Maine, reflecting tight polling margins in Republican-held seats featuring strong candidate matchups. Open races and specials create opportunities for narrower outcomes amid uncertain national conditions two months before the November election. Recent Democratic withdrawal in Maine has introduced added volatility there, while Texas and Iowa feature experienced challengers testing entrenched incumbents or successors. Competitive dynamics hinge on turnout in battleground states, fundraising edges, and any late shifts in the midterm environment that could widen or compress final vote shares across these contests.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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