Idaho's 1st congressional district maintains a strong structural Republican advantage, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent Russ Fulcher's consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Traders have priced the Republican Party at 96.8% odds ahead of the May 19 primaries, where Fulcher faces limited intra-party opposition while Democrats select between Kaylee Peterson and Ken Brungardt for the general election ballot. The district's voting patterns, including a 45-point Trump margin in the last presidential contest, continue to anchor expectations for November 3, 2026. A Democratic win would require an unprecedented national shift or major local disruption not currently evident in fundraising, polling baselines, or campaign activity.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডID-01 House Election Winner
$33,743 Vol.
$33,743 Vol.
Republican Party
97%
Democratic Party
3%
$33,743 Vol.
$33,743 Vol.
Republican Party
97%
Democratic Party
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's 1st congressional district maintains a strong structural Republican advantage, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent Russ Fulcher's consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Traders have priced the Republican Party at 96.8% odds ahead of the May 19 primaries, where Fulcher faces limited intra-party opposition while Democrats select between Kaylee Peterson and Ken Brungardt for the general election ballot. The district's voting patterns, including a 45-point Trump margin in the last presidential contest, continue to anchor expectations for November 3, 2026. A Democratic win would require an unprecedented national shift or major local disruption not currently evident in fundraising, polling baselines, or campaign activity.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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