Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 80.5% implied probability in the TX-21 House race, reflecting the district's strong R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and historical performance where Donald Trump carried it 59%-39% in 2024 and incumbent Chip Roy won by 26 points against the same Democratic nominee, Kristin Hook. The open seat—Roy vacated for an Attorney General bid—saw former MLB star Mark Teixeira secure the GOP nomination with 63% in the March 3 primary amid a crowded field of 14 candidates, signaling robust Republican turnout. Hook again won the Democratic primary decisively, but ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican), Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican), and others underscore limited Democratic path to victory in this central Texas district spanning San Antonio suburbs and Hill Country counties. No recent polls have emerged since primaries, with the November 3 general election as the next key date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-21 House Election Winner
TX-21 House Election Winner
$30,693 Vol.
$30,693 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
19%
$30,693 Vol.
$30,693 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$17,527 Vol.
80%
Democratic Party
$13,166 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 80.5% implied probability in the TX-21 House race, reflecting the district's strong R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and historical performance where Donald Trump carried it 59%-39% in 2024 and incumbent Chip Roy won by 26 points against the same Democratic nominee, Kristin Hook. The open seat—Roy vacated for an Attorney General bid—saw former MLB star Mark Teixeira secure the GOP nomination with 63% in the March 3 primary amid a crowded field of 14 candidates, signaling robust Republican turnout. Hook again won the Democratic primary decisively, but ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican), Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican), and others underscore limited Democratic path to victory in this central Texas district spanning San Antonio suburbs and Hill Country counties. No recent polls have emerged since primaries, with the November 3 general election as the next key date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$30,693শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 80.5% implied probability in the TX-21 House race, reflecting the district's strong R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and historical performance where Donald Trump carried it 59%-39% in 2024 and incumbent Chip Roy won by 26 points against the same Democratic nominee, Kristin Hook. The open seat—Roy vacated for an Attorney General bid—saw former MLB star Mark Teixeira secure the GOP nomination with 63% in the March 3 primary amid a crowded field of 14 candidates, signaling robust Republican turnout. Hook again won the Democratic primary decisively, but ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican), Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican), and others underscore limited Democratic path to victory in this central Texas district spanning San Antonio suburbs and Hill Country counties. No recent polls have emerged since primaries, with the November 3 general election as the next key date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$30,693শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 80.5% implied probability in the TX-21 House race, reflecting the district's strong R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and historical performance where Donald Trump carried it 59%-39% in 2024 and incumbent Chip Roy won by 26 points against the same Democratic nominee, Kristin Hook. The open seat—Roy vacated for an Attorney General bid—saw former MLB star Mark Teixeira secure the GOP nomination with 63% in the March 3 primary amid a crowded field of 14 candidates, signaling robust Republican turnout. Hook again won the Democratic primary decisively, but ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican), Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican), and others underscore limited Democratic path to victory in this central Texas district spanning San Antonio suburbs and Hill Country counties. No recent polls have emerged since primaries, with the November 3 general election as the next key date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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