Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s strong fundraising—over $847,000 cash on hand—and dominance in Washington’s 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% odds. The May 8 filing deadline confirmed a fragmented Republican field featuring repeat challengers Douglas Michael Basler, Janis Clark, and C. Mark Greene, none with notable resources, mirroring past blowout losses to Smith (e.g., 72% in 2022). A competitive Democratic top-two primary on August 4 against Kshama Sawant and Melissa Chaudhry could advance two Democrats to November 3, further securing the seat. Late scandals, a national Republican wave, or GOP consolidation behind a well-funded nominee could challenge this, though historical precedents suggest slim odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWA-09 House Election Winner
WA-09 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,211 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$5,711 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s strong fundraising—over $847,000 cash on hand—and dominance in Washington’s 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% odds. The May 8 filing deadline confirmed a fragmented Republican field featuring repeat challengers Douglas Michael Basler, Janis Clark, and C. Mark Greene, none with notable resources, mirroring past blowout losses to Smith (e.g., 72% in 2022). A competitive Democratic top-two primary on August 4 against Kshama Sawant and Melissa Chaudhry could advance two Democrats to November 3, further securing the seat. Late scandals, a national Republican wave, or GOP consolidation behind a well-funded nominee could challenge this, though historical precedents suggest slim odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$7,922শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s strong fundraising—over $847,000 cash on hand—and dominance in Washington’s 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% odds. The May 8 filing deadline confirmed a fragmented Republican field featuring repeat challengers Douglas Michael Basler, Janis Clark, and C. Mark Greene, none with notable resources, mirroring past blowout losses to Smith (e.g., 72% in 2022). A competitive Democratic top-two primary on August 4 against Kshama Sawant and Melissa Chaudhry could advance two Democrats to November 3, further securing the seat. Late scandals, a national Republican wave, or GOP consolidation behind a well-funded nominee could challenge this, though historical precedents suggest slim odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$7,922শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s strong fundraising—over $847,000 cash on hand—and dominance in Washington’s 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% odds. The May 8 filing deadline confirmed a fragmented Republican field featuring repeat challengers Douglas Michael Basler, Janis Clark, and C. Mark Greene, none with notable resources, mirroring past blowout losses to Smith (e.g., 72% in 2022). A competitive Democratic top-two primary on August 4 against Kshama Sawant and Melissa Chaudhry could advance two Democrats to November 3, further securing the seat. Late scandals, a national Republican wave, or GOP consolidation behind a well-funded nominee could challenge this, though historical precedents suggest slim odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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