California voters are set to decide a proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion in the November 2026 election, after supporters submitted over 1.5 million signatures in late April to qualify the ballot initiative. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 63.5% reflects mounting opposition from business leaders and some Democratic lawmakers concerned about capital flight, as analyses from the Legislative Analyst’s Office and Hoover Institution project net revenue losses exceeding $25 billion if high-net-worth residents relocate. Early polling shows soft majority support around 50-52% that remains vulnerable to advertising, while counter-initiatives and rising opposition spending from tech donors have intensified the contest ahead of the June 25 certification deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
$3,285,989 Vol.
$3,285,989 Vol.
হ্যাঁ
$3,285,989 Vol.
$3,285,989 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California voters are set to decide a proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion in the November 2026 election, after supporters submitted over 1.5 million signatures in late April to qualify the ballot initiative. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 63.5% reflects mounting opposition from business leaders and some Democratic lawmakers concerned about capital flight, as analyses from the Legislative Analyst’s Office and Hoover Institution project net revenue losses exceeding $25 billion if high-net-worth residents relocate. Early polling shows soft majority support around 50-52% that remains vulnerable to advertising, while counter-initiatives and rising opposition spending from tech donors have intensified the contest ahead of the June 25 certification deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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