Recent polling in the crowded Los Angeles mayoral primary shows incumbent Karen Bass at roughly 30 percent among likely voters, with challengers Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman clustered in the low-to-mid 20s and the remainder scattered across more than a dozen other candidates. This fragmented support, combined with a nonpartisan top-two format that advances only the two highest finishers to a November 3 runoff unless one exceeds 50 percent, keeps the prospect of an outright first-round winner remote. Late May surveys from Emerson College and Tavern Research confirm undecided voters have declined sharply yet still leave no contender within striking distance of a majority, consistent with historical patterns in Los Angeles elections where incumbents rarely clear the threshold in multi-candidate fields.