Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority of roughly 217 seats ahead of the 2026 midterms. Trader pricing places the highest probability on outcomes below 190 seats, reflecting historical patterns where the president's party loses ground in midterm elections. Recent generic congressional ballot surveys show Democrats maintaining a modest lead, while ongoing redistricting in several states continues to shape competitive districts. Key variables that could shift these ranges include shifts in economic indicators, approval trends for the current administration, and the resolution of open seats or retirements. With probabilities spread across multiple bins, no single outcome yet commands a clear majority of trader conviction.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRepublican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190 27%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.6%
190-194 12%
$234,004 Vol.
$234,004 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
27%
190-194
12%
195-199
12%
200-204
12%
205-209
10%
210-214
9%
215-219
11%
220-224
9%
225-229
3%
230+
1%
Below 190 27%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.6%
190-194 12%
$234,004 Vol.
$234,004 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
$17,563 Vol.
27%
190-194
$8,510 Vol.
12%
195-199
$28,089 Vol.
12%
200-204
$22,113 Vol.
12%
205-209
$35,373 Vol.
10%
210-214
$12,829 Vol.
9%
215-219
$7,989 Vol.
11%
220-224
$53,712 Vol.
9%
225-229
$21,389 Vol.
3%
230+
$26,436 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority of roughly 217 seats ahead of the 2026 midterms. Trader pricing places the highest probability on outcomes below 190 seats, reflecting historical patterns where the president's party loses ground in midterm elections. Recent generic congressional ballot surveys show Democrats maintaining a modest lead, while ongoing redistricting in several states continues to shape competitive districts. Key variables that could shift these ranges include shifts in economic indicators, approval trends for the current administration, and the resolution of open seats or retirements. With probabilities spread across multiple bins, no single outcome yet commands a clear majority of trader conviction.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
ভলিউম
$234,004শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority of roughly 217 seats ahead of the 2026 midterms. Trader pricing places the highest probability on outcomes below 190 seats, reflecting historical patterns where the president's party loses ground in midterm elections. Recent generic congressional ballot surveys show Democrats maintaining a modest lead, while ongoing redistricting in several states continues to shape competitive districts. Key variables that could shift these ranges include shifts in economic indicators, approval trends for the current administration, and the resolution of open seats or retirements. With probabilities spread across multiple bins, no single outcome yet commands a clear majority of trader conviction.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$234,004শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority of roughly 217 seats ahead of the 2026 midterms. Trader pricing places the highest probability on outcomes below 190 seats, reflecting historical patterns where the president's party loses ground in midterm elections. Recent generic congressional ballot surveys show Democrats maintaining a modest lead, while ongoing redistricting in several states continues to shape competitive districts. Key variables that could shift these ranges include shifts in economic indicators, approval trends for the current administration, and the resolution of open seats or retirements. With probabilities spread across multiple bins, no single outcome yet commands a clear majority of trader conviction.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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