Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to win TX-07 after securing the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary, bolstering her position in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report following mid-decade redistricting upheld by the Supreme Court in late April. Fletcher's margin has widened since her narrow 2018 victory, reflecting favorable Houston-area demographics and incumbency advantages in this non-battleground seat. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen underscores limited Republican firepower. Upsets remain possible via a late scandal, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or surge in GOP turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-07 House Election Winner
TX-07 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,085 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$1,983 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to win TX-07 after securing the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary, bolstering her position in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report following mid-decade redistricting upheld by the Supreme Court in late April. Fletcher's margin has widened since her narrow 2018 victory, reflecting favorable Houston-area demographics and incumbency advantages in this non-battleground seat. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen underscores limited Republican firepower. Upsets remain possible via a late scandal, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or surge in GOP turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$8,068শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to win TX-07 after securing the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary, bolstering her position in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report following mid-decade redistricting upheld by the Supreme Court in late April. Fletcher's margin has widened since her narrow 2018 victory, reflecting favorable Houston-area demographics and incumbency advantages in this non-battleground seat. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen underscores limited Republican firepower. Upsets remain possible via a late scandal, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or surge in GOP turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$8,068শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to win TX-07 after securing the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary, bolstering her position in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report following mid-decade redistricting upheld by the Supreme Court in late April. Fletcher's margin has widened since her narrow 2018 victory, reflecting favorable Houston-area demographics and incumbency advantages in this non-battleground seat. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen underscores limited Republican firepower. Upsets remain possible via a late scandal, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or surge in GOP turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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