Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, anchored by its D+14 to D+18 partisan lean and long-standing voter coalitions in Hampton Roads and surrounding areas. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1992, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary and no competitive Republican challenger for the November 3 general election. Recent attempts at mid-decade redistricting through a voter-approved constitutional amendment were blocked by court order, leaving district boundaries largely unchanged and preserving the seat's structural Democratic advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these entrenched factors, with limited scope for reversal absent major unforeseen developments such as an incumbent withdrawal or sudden national political realignment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডVA-03 House Election Winner
$35,417 Vol.
$35,417 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$35,417 Vol.
$35,417 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, anchored by its D+14 to D+18 partisan lean and long-standing voter coalitions in Hampton Roads and surrounding areas. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1992, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary and no competitive Republican challenger for the November 3 general election. Recent attempts at mid-decade redistricting through a voter-approved constitutional amendment were blocked by court order, leaving district boundaries largely unchanged and preserving the seat's structural Democratic advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these entrenched factors, with limited scope for reversal absent major unforeseen developments such as an incumbent withdrawal or sudden national political realignment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা