**Trader consensus on the closest 2026 gubernatorial race centers on Ohio, followed by Wisconsin, Kansas, Iowa, and Texas, reflecting a cluster of open or term-limited seats in states with narrow partisan leans and recent polling margins under 4 points.** Recent August 2026 surveys in Ohio have shown leads of 1–2 points between leading candidates, while Wisconsin’s post-primary environment and Kansas’s open contest also register as toss-ups or leans in forecaster ratings. These dynamics stem from balanced candidate recruitment, comparable fundraising, and voter bases sensitive to state economic conditions and national midterm patterns. Further separation could emerge from fall debates, new polling aggregates, turnout differentials in key counties, or late developments in candidate positioning that shift independent or suburban support.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOhio 18.4%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 Vol.
$11,682 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio
18%
New Hampshire
9%
Wisconsin
13%
Kansas
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
12%
Florida
9%
Alaska
10%
Georgia
10%
Nevada
7%
Michigan
5%
Oregon
4%
Vermont
4%
Minnesota
3%
Maine
2%
Colorado
2%
New Mexico
2%
Arizona
1%
Ohio 18.4%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 Vol.
$11,682 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio
$423 Vol.
18%
New Hampshire
$272 Vol.
9%
Wisconsin
$970 Vol.
13%
Kansas
$2,109 Vol.
12%
Iowa
$1,480 Vol.
12%
Texas
$1,569 Vol.
12%
Florida
$224 Vol.
9%
Alaska
$207 Vol.
10%
Georgia
$297 Vol.
10%
Nevada
$2,034 Vol.
7%
Michigan
$329 Vol.
5%
Oregon
$319 Vol.
4%
Vermont
$176 Vol.
4%
Minnesota
$214 Vol.
3%
Maine
$355 Vol.
2%
Colorado
$243 Vol.
2%
New Mexico
$194 Vol.
2%
Arizona
$269 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on the closest 2026 gubernatorial race centers on Ohio, followed by Wisconsin, Kansas, Iowa, and Texas, reflecting a cluster of open or term-limited seats in states with narrow partisan leans and recent polling margins under 4 points.**
Recent August 2026 surveys in Ohio have shown leads of 1–2 points between leading candidates, while Wisconsin’s post-primary environment and Kansas’s open contest also register as toss-ups or leans in forecaster ratings. These dynamics stem from balanced candidate recruitment, comparable fundraising, and voter bases sensitive to state economic conditions and national midterm patterns.
Further separation could emerge from fall debates, new polling aggregates, turnout differentials in key counties, or late developments in candidate positioning that shift independent or suburban support.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
ভলিউম
$11,682শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on the closest 2026 gubernatorial race centers on Ohio, followed by Wisconsin, Kansas, Iowa, and Texas, reflecting a cluster of open or term-limited seats in states with narrow partisan leans and recent polling margins under 4 points.**
Recent August 2026 surveys in Ohio have shown leads of 1–2 points between leading candidates, while Wisconsin’s post-primary environment and Kansas’s open contest also register as toss-ups or leans in forecaster ratings. These dynamics stem from balanced candidate recruitment, comparable fundraising, and voter bases sensitive to state economic conditions and national midterm patterns.
Further separation could emerge from fall debates, new polling aggregates, turnout differentials in key counties, or late developments in candidate positioning that shift independent or suburban support.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$11,682শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the closest 2026 gubernatorial race centers on Ohio, followed by Wisconsin, Kansas, Iowa, and Texas, reflecting a cluster of open or term-limited seats in states with narrow partisan leans and recent polling margins under 4 points.** Recent August 2026 surveys in Ohio have shown leads of 1–2 points between leading candidates, while Wisconsin’s post-primary environment and Kansas’s open contest also register as toss-ups or leans in forecaster ratings. These dynamics stem from balanced candidate recruitment, comparable fundraising, and voter bases sensitive to state economic conditions and national midterm patterns. Further separation could emerge from fall debates, new polling aggregates, turnout differentials in key counties, or late developments in candidate positioning that shift independent or suburban support.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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