Multiple open seats from term limits, combined with competitive candidate fields and narrow polling margins in states like Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas, sustain trader consensus on a tight contest for the closest 2026 gubernatorial race. Recent primaries, including Wisconsin's Democratic contest and Iowa's Republican matchup, along with analyst rating shifts highlighting toss-ups, reinforce balanced dynamics across these battlegrounds. Economic pressures such as tariffs in agricultural states and standard midterm turnout patterns further contribute to uncertainty. Late developments like candidate debates, economic indicators, or national political momentum could widen gaps by clarifying voter preferences in the final months.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOhio 18.5%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 Vol.
$11,682 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio
19%
New Hampshire
9%
Wisconsin
13%
Kansas
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
12%
Alaska
10%
Florida
9%
Georgia
9%
Nevada
7%
Michigan
5%
Vermont
4%
Oregon
3%
Minnesota
3%
Maine
2%
Colorado
2%
New Mexico
2%
Arizona
2%
Ohio 18.5%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 Vol.
$11,682 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio
$423 Vol.
19%
New Hampshire
$272 Vol.
9%
Wisconsin
$970 Vol.
13%
Kansas
$2,109 Vol.
12%
Iowa
$1,480 Vol.
12%
Texas
$1,569 Vol.
12%
Alaska
$207 Vol.
10%
Florida
$224 Vol.
9%
Georgia
$297 Vol.
9%
Nevada
$2,034 Vol.
7%
Michigan
$329 Vol.
5%
Vermont
$176 Vol.
4%
Oregon
$319 Vol.
3%
Minnesota
$214 Vol.
3%
Maine
$355 Vol.
2%
Colorado
$243 Vol.
2%
New Mexico
$194 Vol.
2%
Arizona
$269 Vol.
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple open seats from term limits, combined with competitive candidate fields and narrow polling margins in states like Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas, sustain trader consensus on a tight contest for the closest 2026 gubernatorial race. Recent primaries, including Wisconsin's Democratic contest and Iowa's Republican matchup, along with analyst rating shifts highlighting toss-ups, reinforce balanced dynamics across these battlegrounds. Economic pressures such as tariffs in agricultural states and standard midterm turnout patterns further contribute to uncertainty. Late developments like candidate debates, economic indicators, or national political momentum could widen gaps by clarifying voter preferences in the final months.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
ভলিউম
$11,682শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple open seats from term limits, combined with competitive candidate fields and narrow polling margins in states like Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas, sustain trader consensus on a tight contest for the closest 2026 gubernatorial race. Recent primaries, including Wisconsin's Democratic contest and Iowa's Republican matchup, along with analyst rating shifts highlighting toss-ups, reinforce balanced dynamics across these battlegrounds. Economic pressures such as tariffs in agricultural states and standard midterm turnout patterns further contribute to uncertainty. Late developments like candidate debates, economic indicators, or national political momentum could widen gaps by clarifying voter preferences in the final months.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$11,682শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple open seats from term limits, combined with competitive candidate fields and narrow polling margins in states like Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas, sustain trader consensus on a tight contest for the closest 2026 gubernatorial race. Recent primaries, including Wisconsin's Democratic contest and Iowa's Republican matchup, along with analyst rating shifts highlighting toss-ups, reinforce balanced dynamics across these battlegrounds. Economic pressures such as tariffs in agricultural states and standard midterm turnout patterns further contribute to uncertainty. Late developments like candidate debates, economic indicators, or national political momentum could widen gaps by clarifying voter preferences in the final months.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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