Arizona's 3rd Congressional District, centered in western Phoenix and featuring a majority-Latino electorate, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari secured reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Democratic primary. No Republican candidate qualified for the November 3, 2026 general election ballot, leaving only a write-in nominee and minor-party options such as Green and No Labels. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors, including limited opposition and consistent historical performance, underpin the market's 98% consensus for a Democratic outcome. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or health issue involving the incumbent represent the primary, though low-probability, paths to altering the result.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAZ-03 House Election Winner
$50,632 Vol.
$50,632 Vol.
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
$50,632 Vol.
$50,632 Vol.
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd Congressional District, centered in western Phoenix and featuring a majority-Latino electorate, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari secured reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Democratic primary. No Republican candidate qualified for the November 3, 2026 general election ballot, leaving only a write-in nominee and minor-party options such as Green and No Labels. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors, including limited opposition and consistent historical performance, underpin the market's 98% consensus for a Democratic outcome. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or health issue involving the incumbent represent the primary, though low-probability, paths to altering the result.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা