Open-seat race in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+6, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 68% implied probability ahead of the June 9 primaries. Incumbent Nancy Mace's departure for the gubernatorial race has drawn a crowded 12-candidate GOP primary field, including state Rep. Mark Smith—who led a GOP forum straw poll at 34% on April 17—and fundraising leaders like Jay Byars, Jenny Honeycutt, Alex Pelbath, and Sam McCown. Democrats field eight contenders in their primary, but the district's history of Republican dominance, including Trump's 56% in 2024 and Mace's 58% win last cycle, underpins the GOP edge despite DCCC targeting efforts in February. Potential primary runoffs by June 23 could consolidate nominees before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSC-01 House Election Winner
SC-01 House Election Winner
$36,515 Vol.
$36,515 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
30%
$36,515 Vol.
$36,515 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,605 Vol.
68%
Democratic Party
$29,910 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Open-seat race in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+6, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 68% implied probability ahead of the June 9 primaries. Incumbent Nancy Mace's departure for the gubernatorial race has drawn a crowded 12-candidate GOP primary field, including state Rep. Mark Smith—who led a GOP forum straw poll at 34% on April 17—and fundraising leaders like Jay Byars, Jenny Honeycutt, Alex Pelbath, and Sam McCown. Democrats field eight contenders in their primary, but the district's history of Republican dominance, including Trump's 56% in 2024 and Mace's 58% win last cycle, underpins the GOP edge despite DCCC targeting efforts in February. Potential primary runoffs by June 23 could consolidate nominees before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$36,515শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Open-seat race in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+6, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 68% implied probability ahead of the June 9 primaries. Incumbent Nancy Mace's departure for the gubernatorial race has drawn a crowded 12-candidate GOP primary field, including state Rep. Mark Smith—who led a GOP forum straw poll at 34% on April 17—and fundraising leaders like Jay Byars, Jenny Honeycutt, Alex Pelbath, and Sam McCown. Democrats field eight contenders in their primary, but the district's history of Republican dominance, including Trump's 56% in 2024 and Mace's 58% win last cycle, underpins the GOP edge despite DCCC targeting efforts in February. Potential primary runoffs by June 23 could consolidate nominees before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$36,515শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Open-seat race in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+6, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 68% implied probability ahead of the June 9 primaries. Incumbent Nancy Mace's departure for the gubernatorial race has drawn a crowded 12-candidate GOP primary field, including state Rep. Mark Smith—who led a GOP forum straw poll at 34% on April 17—and fundraising leaders like Jay Byars, Jenny Honeycutt, Alex Pelbath, and Sam McCown. Democrats field eight contenders in their primary, but the district's history of Republican dominance, including Trump's 56% in 2024 and Mace's 58% win last cycle, underpins the GOP edge despite DCCC targeting efforts in February. Potential primary runoffs by June 23 could consolidate nominees before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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