Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz leads trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win California's 25th Congressional District House race, reflecting his consistent victories—56.3% in 2024 and 57.4% in 2022—in a D+3 Cook PVI district tilted further Democratic by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, Ruiz holds $2.4 million cash-on-hand versus leading Republican Joe Males' $52,000, with other GOP contenders Ceci Andrade Truman and Ronald Huffman trailing in resources. Early voting began May 4, but no recent polling or scandals have altered the safe Democratic rating from Cook Political Report, underscoring structural barriers to a Republican upset despite the 8.5% GOP pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-25 House Election Winner
CA-25 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
9%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,454 Vol.
89%
Republican Party
$615 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz leads trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win California's 25th Congressional District House race, reflecting his consistent victories—56.3% in 2024 and 57.4% in 2022—in a D+3 Cook PVI district tilted further Democratic by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, Ruiz holds $2.4 million cash-on-hand versus leading Republican Joe Males' $52,000, with other GOP contenders Ceci Andrade Truman and Ronald Huffman trailing in resources. Early voting began May 4, but no recent polling or scandals have altered the safe Democratic rating from Cook Political Report, underscoring structural barriers to a Republican upset despite the 8.5% GOP pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$3,069শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz leads trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win California's 25th Congressional District House race, reflecting his consistent victories—56.3% in 2024 and 57.4% in 2022—in a D+3 Cook PVI district tilted further Democratic by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, Ruiz holds $2.4 million cash-on-hand versus leading Republican Joe Males' $52,000, with other GOP contenders Ceci Andrade Truman and Ronald Huffman trailing in resources. Early voting began May 4, but no recent polling or scandals have altered the safe Democratic rating from Cook Political Report, underscoring structural barriers to a Republican upset despite the 8.5% GOP pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$3,069শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz leads trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win California's 25th Congressional District House race, reflecting his consistent victories—56.3% in 2024 and 57.4% in 2022—in a D+3 Cook PVI district tilted further Democratic by mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, Ruiz holds $2.4 million cash-on-hand versus leading Republican Joe Males' $52,000, with other GOP contenders Ceci Andrade Truman and Ronald Huffman trailing in resources. Early voting began May 4, but no recent polling or scandals have altered the safe Democratic rating from Cook Political Report, underscoring structural barriers to a Republican upset despite the 8.5% GOP pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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