**The 2026 Russian State Duma election, held September 18–20, features United Russia positioned for a commanding result amid a tightly managed process with no credible anti-war opposition on the ballot.** Early official counts showed the party at approximately 57% of the party-list vote, aligning with the market’s leading 55–60% outcome at 72% implied probability. Kremlin-aligned pollsters projected 47–53% beforehand, while independent surveys indicated lower figures around 35% among decided voters; authorities raised regional targets to over 50% in early September. Putin has framed the vote as a demonstration of support for the Ukraine conflict, with turnout reaching about 57%—higher than in 2021. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People trail significantly but remain aligned on key issues, reinforcing United Russia’s expected parliamentary dominance in single-mandate districts as well. Traders price in these structural controls and recent partial results rather than pre-election polling variance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড55-60% 51%
50-55% 41%
60%+ 8.1%
45-50% <1%
নতুন
$29,023 Vol.
নতুন
$29,023 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<40%
<1%
40-45%
<1%
45-50%
1%
50-55%
41%
55-60%
51%
60%+
8%
55-60% 51%
50-55% 41%
60%+ 8.1%
45-50% <1%
নতুন
$29,023 Vol.
নতুন
$29,023 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<40%
$146 Vol.
<1%
40-45%
$578 Vol.
<1%
45-50%
$4,685 Vol.
1%
50-55%
$7,162 Vol.
41%
55-60%
$4,330 Vol.
51%
60%+
$12,123 Vol.
8%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**The 2026 Russian State Duma election, held September 18–20, features United Russia positioned for a commanding result amid a tightly managed process with no credible anti-war opposition on the ballot.** Early official counts showed the party at approximately 57% of the party-list vote, aligning with the market’s leading 55–60% outcome at 72% implied probability. Kremlin-aligned pollsters projected 47–53% beforehand, while independent surveys indicated lower figures around 35% among decided voters; authorities raised regional targets to over 50% in early September. Putin has framed the vote as a demonstration of support for the Ukraine conflict, with turnout reaching about 57%—higher than in 2021. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People trail significantly but remain aligned on key issues, reinforcing United Russia’s expected parliamentary dominance in single-mandate districts as well. Traders price in these structural controls and recent partial results rather than pre-election polling variance.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
ভলিউম
$29,023শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**The 2026 Russian State Duma election, held September 18–20, features United Russia positioned for a commanding result amid a tightly managed process with no credible anti-war opposition on the ballot.** Early official counts showed the party at approximately 57% of the party-list vote, aligning with the market’s leading 55–60% outcome at 72% implied probability. Kremlin-aligned pollsters projected 47–53% beforehand, while independent surveys indicated lower figures around 35% among decided voters; authorities raised regional targets to over 50% in early September. Putin has framed the vote as a demonstration of support for the Ukraine conflict, with turnout reaching about 57%—higher than in 2021. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People trail significantly but remain aligned on key issues, reinforcing United Russia’s expected parliamentary dominance in single-mandate districts as well. Traders price in these structural controls and recent partial results rather than pre-election polling variance.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ভলিউম
$29,023শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**The 2026 Russian State Duma election, held September 18–20, features United Russia positioned for a commanding result amid a tightly managed process with no credible anti-war opposition on the ballot.** Early official counts showed the party at approximately 57% of the party-list vote, aligning with the market’s leading 55–60% outcome at 72% implied probability. Kremlin-aligned pollsters projected 47–53% beforehand, while independent surveys indicated lower figures around 35% among decided voters; authorities raised regional targets to over 50% in early September. Putin has framed the vote as a demonstration of support for the Ukraine conflict, with turnout reaching about 57%—higher than in 2021. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People trail significantly but remain aligned on key issues, reinforcing United Russia’s expected parliamentary dominance in single-mandate districts as well. Traders price in these structural controls and recent partial results rather than pre-election polling variance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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