The suburban Minneapolis district's D+11 partisan lean, confirmed by its 21-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. Incumbent Kelly Morrison, first elected in 2024 with 58.4 percent, faces no serious primary opposition and benefits from the seat's transformation from competitive to reliably Democratic. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primary and November general. A national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high turnout among suburban moderates could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors would still require dramatic shifts to produce a Republican victory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMN-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The suburban Minneapolis district's D+11 partisan lean, confirmed by its 21-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. Incumbent Kelly Morrison, first elected in 2024 with 58.4 percent, faces no serious primary opposition and benefits from the seat's transformation from competitive to reliably Democratic. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primary and November general. A national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high turnout among suburban moderates could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors would still require dramatic shifts to produce a Republican victory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা