Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a strong partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party in the 2026 House general election winner market. Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar recently secured the DFL endorsement on May 9, bolstering her position ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. The district's urban, progressive base in eastern Hennepin County has delivered Omar landslide victories, including against Republican Dalia al-Aqidi in 2024. Recent scrutiny from the state's Feeding Our Future fraud probe—where Omar's office appears in communications but no charges have emerged—has not shifted odds amid her fundraising dominance. Realistic challenges include a competitive Democratic primary upset, indictment forcing withdrawal, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's D+25 historical baseline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$36,461 Vol.
$36,461 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$36,461 Vol.
$36,461 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,719 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$20,742 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a strong partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party in the 2026 House general election winner market. Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar recently secured the DFL endorsement on May 9, bolstering her position ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. The district's urban, progressive base in eastern Hennepin County has delivered Omar landslide victories, including against Republican Dalia al-Aqidi in 2024. Recent scrutiny from the state's Feeding Our Future fraud probe—where Omar's office appears in communications but no charges have emerged—has not shifted odds amid her fundraising dominance. Realistic challenges include a competitive Democratic primary upset, indictment forcing withdrawal, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's D+25 historical baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$36,461শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a strong partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party in the 2026 House general election winner market. Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar recently secured the DFL endorsement on May 9, bolstering her position ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. The district's urban, progressive base in eastern Hennepin County has delivered Omar landslide victories, including against Republican Dalia al-Aqidi in 2024. Recent scrutiny from the state's Feeding Our Future fraud probe—where Omar's office appears in communications but no charges have emerged—has not shifted odds amid her fundraising dominance. Realistic challenges include a competitive Democratic primary upset, indictment forcing withdrawal, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's D+25 historical baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$36,461শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a strong partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party in the 2026 House general election winner market. Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar recently secured the DFL endorsement on May 9, bolstering her position ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. The district's urban, progressive base in eastern Hennepin County has delivered Omar landslide victories, including against Republican Dalia al-Aqidi in 2024. Recent scrutiny from the state's Feeding Our Future fraud probe—where Omar's office appears in communications but no charges have emerged—has not shifted odds amid her fundraising dominance. Realistic challenges include a competitive Democratic primary upset, indictment forcing withdrawal, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm wave overwhelming the district's D+25 historical baseline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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