Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy faces stiff competition in tomorrow's Republican primary from Rep. Julia Letlow—who leads recent Quantus (May 6-7) and Fabrizio (May 4-5) polls at 32-42%—and Treasurer John Fleming, consolidating GOP support amid Trump's endorsement of Letlow and Gov. Landry's backing. Louisiana's partisan primaries on May 16 determine general election nominees for the November 3 contest, where traders price Republicans at 90.5% implied probability to retain the seat, driven by the state's R+15 partisan lean, historical GOP Senate sweeps since 2014, and a low-profile Democratic field featuring farmer Jamie Davis Jr. and nonprofit executive Nick Albares lacking competitive polling or fundraising. Upsets could stem from primary turnout splits leading to a weakened GOP nominee, national Democratic wave, or late scandals, but structural advantages favor Republican victory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
91%
Democrat
10%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$3,655 Vol.
91%
Democrat
$2,920 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy faces stiff competition in tomorrow's Republican primary from Rep. Julia Letlow—who leads recent Quantus (May 6-7) and Fabrizio (May 4-5) polls at 32-42%—and Treasurer John Fleming, consolidating GOP support amid Trump's endorsement of Letlow and Gov. Landry's backing. Louisiana's partisan primaries on May 16 determine general election nominees for the November 3 contest, where traders price Republicans at 90.5% implied probability to retain the seat, driven by the state's R+15 partisan lean, historical GOP Senate sweeps since 2014, and a low-profile Democratic field featuring farmer Jamie Davis Jr. and nonprofit executive Nick Albares lacking competitive polling or fundraising. Upsets could stem from primary turnout splits leading to a weakened GOP nominee, national Democratic wave, or late scandals, but structural advantages favor Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
ভলিউম
$6,575শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy faces stiff competition in tomorrow's Republican primary from Rep. Julia Letlow—who leads recent Quantus (May 6-7) and Fabrizio (May 4-5) polls at 32-42%—and Treasurer John Fleming, consolidating GOP support amid Trump's endorsement of Letlow and Gov. Landry's backing. Louisiana's partisan primaries on May 16 determine general election nominees for the November 3 contest, where traders price Republicans at 90.5% implied probability to retain the seat, driven by the state's R+15 partisan lean, historical GOP Senate sweeps since 2014, and a low-profile Democratic field featuring farmer Jamie Davis Jr. and nonprofit executive Nick Albares lacking competitive polling or fundraising. Upsets could stem from primary turnout splits leading to a weakened GOP nominee, national Democratic wave, or late scandals, but structural advantages favor Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$6,575শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy faces stiff competition in tomorrow's Republican primary from Rep. Julia Letlow—who leads recent Quantus (May 6-7) and Fabrizio (May 4-5) polls at 32-42%—and Treasurer John Fleming, consolidating GOP support amid Trump's endorsement of Letlow and Gov. Landry's backing. Louisiana's partisan primaries on May 16 determine general election nominees for the November 3 contest, where traders price Republicans at 90.5% implied probability to retain the seat, driven by the state's R+15 partisan lean, historical GOP Senate sweeps since 2014, and a low-profile Democratic field featuring farmer Jamie Davis Jr. and nonprofit executive Nick Albares lacking competitive polling or fundraising. Upsets could stem from primary turnout splits leading to a weakened GOP nominee, national Democratic wave, or late scandals, but structural advantages favor Republican victory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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