Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Idaho's U.S. Senate seat, driven by the state's deep-red partisan lean—reflected in R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index—and his overwhelming fundraising edge with nearly $4 million raised and $3.7 million cash on hand as of late April. Three low-funded GOP primary challengers—Joe Evans, Denny LaVé, and Josh Roy—pose minimal threat ahead of the May 19 primary, bolstered by Risch's Trump endorsement and prior 2020 victory margin exceeding 25 points. A March poll showed Risch leading independent Todd Achilles 48%-34%, underscoring general election dominance. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise, scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$15,389 Vol.
$15,389 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
91%
Democrat
8%
$15,389 Vol.
$15,389 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$10,646 Vol.
91%
Democrat
$4,743 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Idaho's U.S. Senate seat, driven by the state's deep-red partisan lean—reflected in R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index—and his overwhelming fundraising edge with nearly $4 million raised and $3.7 million cash on hand as of late April. Three low-funded GOP primary challengers—Joe Evans, Denny LaVé, and Josh Roy—pose minimal threat ahead of the May 19 primary, bolstered by Risch's Trump endorsement and prior 2020 victory margin exceeding 25 points. A March poll showed Risch leading independent Todd Achilles 48%-34%, underscoring general election dominance. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise, scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$15,389শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Idaho's U.S. Senate seat, driven by the state's deep-red partisan lean—reflected in R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index—and his overwhelming fundraising edge with nearly $4 million raised and $3.7 million cash on hand as of late April. Three low-funded GOP primary challengers—Joe Evans, Denny LaVé, and Josh Roy—pose minimal threat ahead of the May 19 primary, bolstered by Risch's Trump endorsement and prior 2020 victory margin exceeding 25 points. A March poll showed Risch leading independent Todd Achilles 48%-34%, underscoring general election dominance. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise, scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$15,389শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Idaho's U.S. Senate seat, driven by the state's deep-red partisan lean—reflected in R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index—and his overwhelming fundraising edge with nearly $4 million raised and $3.7 million cash on hand as of late April. Three low-funded GOP primary challengers—Joe Evans, Denny LaVé, and Josh Roy—pose minimal threat ahead of the May 19 primary, bolstered by Risch's Trump endorsement and prior 2020 victory margin exceeding 25 points. A March poll showed Risch leading independent Todd Achilles 48%-34%, underscoring general election dominance. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise, scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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