Incumbent Republican Brad Little secured reelection on November 3 with approximately 57% of the vote against Democrat Terri Pickens at 32%, producing a roughly 25-point margin consistent with Idaho's longstanding partisan lean and forecaster ratings of solid or safe Republican. Pre-election polling averages showed leads of 10-20 points, reflecting the state's structural Republican advantage, Little's incumbency, and limited Democratic competitiveness in a race with no major late shifts or scandals. Final certified results align closely with the 20-25% interval now commanding the highest trader consensus, while outcomes outside this band or a Democratic win remain priced at minimal levels.