Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show Beijing's overnight minimum on August 22 likely settling near 23–24°C, reflecting the seasonal decline from peak summer highs as the monsoon influence wanes. Recent cloudy and humid conditions have limited daytime heating while suppressing strong radiative cooling at night, keeping lows above typical early-August values. Key variables include expected cloud cover, which moderates temperature drops, and any passing frontal systems that could introduce light precipitation and further stabilize readings around 22–25°C. Historical late-August averages near 21°C provide baseline context, but short-term model runs introduce uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds. Traders weigh these atmospheric dynamics against resolution criteria tied to official daily observations.