**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Cape Town on September 1, 2026, will most likely range between 10–13°C under a stable South Atlantic High, southeasterly flow, and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow moderate radiative cooling overnight.** This places the implied probability distribution heavily toward single-digit values near or below the historical early-September baseline of roughly 11°C, with traders assigning the highest weight to 4°C or below. Recent model runs show limited variability from passing weak disturbances, while the absence of strong cold-air advection or anomalous high pressure keeps probabilities for 14°C+ negligible. Key upcoming inputs include the next South African Weather Service and global ensemble updates that will refine nocturnal minimum guidance.