**Equal market-implied odds across temperature bins reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chengdu’s August 30 maximum.** Recent heavy rain and overcast conditions on August 29 have cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, which may limit daytime heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies expected Sunday. Subtropical high-pressure influences, Sichuan basin topography that traps moisture, and variable low-level cloud cover create a narrow but uncertain range for peak insolation. Global and regional model ensembles currently cluster daily highs near 30–32 °C, yet modest shifts in cloud timing, wind direction, or boundary-layer mixing could easily move the observed maximum one bin higher or lower. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points traders monitor before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
32°C 23%
33°C 21%
29°C 20%
31°C 19%
28°C or below
10%
29°C
20%
30°C
12%
31°C
19%
32°C
23%
33°C
21%
34°C
11%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
6%
32°C 23%
33°C 21%
29°C 20%
31°C 19%
28°C or below
10%
29°C
20%
30°C
12%
31°C
19%
32°C
23%
33°C
21%
34°C
11%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Equal market-implied odds across temperature bins reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chengdu’s August 30 maximum.** Recent heavy rain and overcast conditions on August 29 have cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, which may limit daytime heating under partly to mostly cloudy skies expected Sunday. Subtropical high-pressure influences, Sichuan basin topography that traps moisture, and variable low-level cloud cover create a narrow but uncertain range for peak insolation. Global and regional model ensembles currently cluster daily highs near 30–32 °C, yet modest shifts in cloud timing, wind direction, or boundary-layer mixing could easily move the observed maximum one bin higher or lower. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points traders monitor before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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