**Recent typhoon-related circulation is the dominant driver**, bringing expected rainfall and moderating temperatures across Wuhan on August 30. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daytime high in the 30–34°C range amid overcast skies, scattered to moderate rain, and northerly winds, following several days of 35–38°C heat. Model consensus points to reduced solar heating from cloud cover, evaporative cooling during precipitation, and cooler air advection as the key factors capping the maximum. This uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity explains the tight market clustering on 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with traders weighing how much the transition will suppress readings relative to the preceding heatwave. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will further refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
32°C 28%
33°C 20%
31°C 18%
34°C 14%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
7%
30°C
6%
31°C
18%
32°C
28%
33°C
29%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 28%
33°C 20%
31°C 18%
34°C 14%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
7%
30°C
6%
31°C
18%
32°C
28%
33°C
29%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent typhoon-related circulation is the dominant driver**, bringing expected rainfall and moderating temperatures across Wuhan on August 30. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daytime high in the 30–34°C range amid overcast skies, scattered to moderate rain, and northerly winds, following several days of 35–38°C heat. Model consensus points to reduced solar heating from cloud cover, evaporative cooling during precipitation, and cooler air advection as the key factors capping the maximum. This uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity explains the tight market clustering on 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with traders weighing how much the transition will suppress readings relative to the preceding heatwave. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will further refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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