Recent short-range forecast guidance for Munich indicates daily maxima near 28–29°C on August 28 under a slack pressure gradient and modest southerly flow, with model consensus tempered by increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. These conditions introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, as convective timing and coverage can suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Late-August climatology places the long-term average high around 23–24°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly driven by lingering warmth after the mid-month heat spell that produced a 32°C reading on August 16. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this lead time yet still straddle several single-degree brackets, explaining the even market-implied odds across outcomes. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System over the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria tied to official Munich station maxima.