**Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwest winds under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cooling while introducing mild advection.** This aligns with typical late-winter conditions, where average August highs reach about 13–14°C, though gusty NW flows can occasionally push readings 1–2°C higher than guidance. Recent model runs show partly cloudy skies with a low shower risk and strong afternoon winds, factors that favor the upper end of the narrow 14–16°C range without supporting significantly warmer outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in the odds assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima and the potential for localized warming ahead of the next frontal system. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
16°C 61%
15°C 30%
17°C 11%
18°C 4%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
30%
16°C
61%
17°C
11%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 30%
17°C 11%
18°C 4%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
30%
16°C
61%
17°C
11%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwest winds under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cooling while introducing mild advection.** This aligns with typical late-winter conditions, where average August highs reach about 13–14°C, though gusty NW flows can occasionally push readings 1–2°C higher than guidance. Recent model runs show partly cloudy skies with a low shower risk and strong afternoon winds, factors that favor the upper end of the narrow 14–16°C range without supporting significantly warmer outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in the odds assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima and the potential for localized warming ahead of the next frontal system. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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