Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 34–35°C for Tokyo on August 26, 2026, with scattered clouds and a chance of late showers, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High humidity and the urban heat island effect amplify perceived warmth, while afternoon convective development could cap the peak if precipitation arrives earlier than expected. Historical late-August climatology shows frequent 33–36°C readings, but steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture will determine whether the temperature exceeds or falls short of 35°C. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
34°C 35%
35°C 28%
33°C 17%
36°C 12%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
17%
34°C
35%
35°C
28%
36°C
12%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 35%
35°C 28%
33°C 17%
36°C 12%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
17%
34°C
35%
35°C
28%
36°C
12%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 34–35°C for Tokyo on August 26, 2026, with scattered clouds and a chance of late showers, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High humidity and the urban heat island effect amplify perceived warmth, while afternoon convective development could cap the peak if precipitation arrives earlier than expected. Historical late-August climatology shows frequent 33–36°C readings, but steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture will determine whether the temperature exceeds or falls short of 35°C. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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