Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to partly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 25 with daytime maxima near 34°C, aligning with the market's leading 32.5% implied probability for that threshold. Model consensus shows modest warming potential from recent 31–34°C readings, tempered by variable cloud cover that can suppress peak solar heating while high humidity and light winds limit overnight cooling. Ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty around 32–35°C outcomes, as small shifts in steering patterns or convective development could tip the daily high. Updated JMA guidance and global model runs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
34°C 33%
33°C 24%
32°C 14%
35°C 14%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
14%
33°C
24%
34°C
33%
35°C
14%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 33%
33°C 24%
32°C 14%
35°C 14%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
14%
33°C
24%
34°C
33%
35°C
14%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to partly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 25 with daytime maxima near 34°C, aligning with the market's leading 32.5% implied probability for that threshold. Model consensus shows modest warming potential from recent 31–34°C readings, tempered by variable cloud cover that can suppress peak solar heating while high humidity and light winds limit overnight cooling. Ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty around 32–35°C outcomes, as small shifts in steering patterns or convective development could tip the daily high. Updated JMA guidance and global model runs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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