Recent heavy rain forecasts for August 25 in Guangzhou, driven by monsoon activity over the Pearl River Delta, represent the main driver behind the dispersed market odds favoring 31–33 °C highs. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima below typical late-August climatological values near 33 °C. Official guidance highlights 60–80 % rain chances that introduce model divergence on exact timing and intensity, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between 32 °C (26.5 %), 31 °C (19 %), and 33 °C (17.5 %). Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs showing similar rain events capping peaks 1–3 °C lower than clear-sky conditions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
32°C 27%
31°C 19%
33°C 18%
30°C 16%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
19%
32°C
27%
33°C
18%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
11%
32°C 27%
31°C 19%
33°C 18%
30°C 16%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
19%
32°C
27%
33°C
18%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rain forecasts for August 25 in Guangzhou, driven by monsoon activity over the Pearl River Delta, represent the main driver behind the dispersed market odds favoring 31–33 °C highs. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima below typical late-August climatological values near 33 °C. Official guidance highlights 60–80 % rain chances that introduce model divergence on exact timing and intensity, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between 32 °C (26.5 %), 31 °C (19 %), and 33 °C (17.5 %). Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs showing similar rain events capping peaks 1–3 °C lower than clear-sky conditions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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