Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance indicates Madrid highs on August 25 will likely peak near 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow, and modest moisture, following a sharp cooldown from 33°C on August 23 and possible showers on the 24th. This cooler pattern relative to the late-August climatological average of ~31°C stems from an incoming Atlantic trough that has suppressed daytime heating and increased cloud cover. Market-implied odds favoring 28°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble means and recent model runs that keep temperatures in the upper 20s, with limited upside risk unless models trend warmer before resolution. Updated official AEMET guidance and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
28°C 44%
29°C 28%
27°C 18%
30°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
18%
28°C
44%
29°C
28%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 44%
29°C 28%
27°C 18%
30°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
$70 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$32 Vol.
18%
28°C
$72 Vol.
44%
29°C
$87 Vol.
28%
30°C
$12 Vol.
9%
31°C
$20 Vol.
3%
32°C
$4 Vol.
3%
33°C
$5 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance indicates Madrid highs on August 25 will likely peak near 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow, and modest moisture, following a sharp cooldown from 33°C on August 23 and possible showers on the 24th. This cooler pattern relative to the late-August climatological average of ~31°C stems from an incoming Atlantic trough that has suppressed daytime heating and increased cloud cover. Market-implied odds favoring 28°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble means and recent model runs that keep temperatures in the upper 20s, with limited upside risk unless models trend warmer before resolution. Updated official AEMET guidance and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$336শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance indicates Madrid highs on August 25 will likely peak near 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow, and modest moisture, following a sharp cooldown from 33°C on August 23 and possible showers on the 24th. This cooler pattern relative to the late-August climatological average of ~31°C stems from an incoming Atlantic trough that has suppressed daytime heating and increased cloud cover. Market-implied odds favoring 28°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble means and recent model runs that keep temperatures in the upper 20s, with limited upside risk unless models trend warmer before resolution. Updated official AEMET guidance and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$336শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance indicates Madrid highs on August 25 will likely peak near 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow, and modest moisture, following a sharp cooldown from 33°C on August 23 and possible showers on the 24th. This cooler pattern relative to the late-August climatological average of ~31°C stems from an incoming Atlantic trough that has suppressed daytime heating and increased cloud cover. Market-implied odds favoring 28°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble means and recent model runs that keep temperatures in the upper 20s, with limited upside risk unless models trend warmer before resolution. Updated official AEMET guidance and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা