Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, producing a minimum temperature in Madrid of 16–18 °C on August 25. This range aligns with climatological norms near 18.6 °C while reflecting a modest cooling trend after earlier August warmth. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 17 °C and 18 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow and resolution hinges on precise nocturnal minimums recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours could tighten or shift the distribution if cloud cover or wind speeds deviate from current projections.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
18°C 32%
17°C 30%
16°C 27%
19°C 10%
15°C or below
8%
16°C
27%
17°C
30%
18°C
32%
19°C
10%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
2%
18°C 32%
17°C 30%
16°C 27%
19°C 10%
15°C or below
8%
16°C
27%
17°C
30%
18°C
32%
19°C
10%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, producing a minimum temperature in Madrid of 16–18 °C on August 25. This range aligns with climatological norms near 18.6 °C while reflecting a modest cooling trend after earlier August warmth. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 17 °C and 18 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow and resolution hinges on precise nocturnal minimums recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours could tighten or shift the distribution if cloud cover or wind speeds deviate from current projections.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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