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Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?

icon for Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?

Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 26

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 26

18°C 32%

17°C 30%

16°C 27%

19°C 10%

Polymarket
নতুন

18°C 32%

17°C 30%

16°C 27%

19°C 10%

Polymarket
নতুন

15°C or below

$20 Vol.

8%

16°C

$0 Vol.

27%

17°C

$0 Vol.

30%

18°C

$0 Vol.

32%

19°C

$0 Vol.

10%

20°C

$0 Vol.

8%

21°C

$20 Vol.

2%

22°C

$15 Vol.

1%

23°C

$279 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$618 Vol.

<1%

25°C or higher

$30 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, producing a minimum temperature in Madrid of 16–18 °C on August 25. This range aligns with climatological norms near 18.6 °C while reflecting a modest cooling trend after earlier August warmth. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 17 °C and 18 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow and resolution hinges on precise nocturnal minimums recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours could tighten or shift the distribution if cloud cover or wind speeds deviate from current projections.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$982
শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

রেজোলিউশন সোর্স

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, producing a minimum temperature in Madrid of 16–18 °C on August 25. This range aligns with climatological norms near 18.6 °C while reflecting a modest cooling trend after earlier August warmth. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 17 °C and 18 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow and resolution hinges on precise nocturnal minimums recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours could tighten or shift the distribution if cloud cover or wind speeds deviate from current projections.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$982
শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

রেজোলিউশন সোর্স

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?" হলো Polymarket-এ 11 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "18°C" 32%-এ, তারপর "17°C" 30%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

"Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?" Polymarket-এ একটি নতুন তৈরি মার্কেট, Aug 23, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হয়েছে। একটি নতুন মার্কেট হিসেবে, এটি প্রথম ট্রেডারদের মধ্যে একজন হয়ে অডস সেট করার ও মার্কেটের প্রাথমিক মূল্য সংকেত প্রতিষ্ঠা করার সুযোগ। সময়ের সাথে মার্কেট গতি পেলে ভলিউম ও ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি ট্র্যাক করতে এই পেজ বুকমার্ক করতে পারেন।

"Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 11 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "18°C" 32%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 32% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "17°C" 30%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।