Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime maximum near 31°C at Incheon on August 23, with a secondary cluster around 32°C, driven by a mix of partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and modest moisture that limits full solar heating. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average highs trend downward from early-month peaks near 31–32°C amid increasing cloudiness and occasional showers. Model runs show limited spread, though any reduction in cloud cover or stronger subsidence could push readings toward 33°C, while persistent rain or thicker stratus would favor 30°C or below. Updated KMA and ensemble guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will further refine these probabilities as the event approaches.