Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently project Beijing's August 25 high near 31–33°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. Primary differentiators include variable thunderstorm timing and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater surface heating amid typical late-summer humidity and weak steering flows. Recent model runs show modest spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating the observed uncertainty; traders weigh these against climatological baselines of ~30°C averages and upcoming 48-hour forecast updates that will likely narrow resolution odds before the date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Beijing on August 25?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 25?
32°C 31%
33°C 24%
31°C 24%
30°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C
24%
32°C
31%
33°C
24%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 31%
33°C 24%
31°C 24%
30°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$207 Vol.
1%
27°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$119 Vol.
2%
29°C
$26 Vol.
6%
30°C
$161 Vol.
7%
31°C
$57 Vol.
24%
32°C
$61 Vol.
31%
33°C
$82 Vol.
24%
34°C
$129 Vol.
7%
35°C
$10 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently project Beijing's August 25 high near 31–33°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. Primary differentiators include variable thunderstorm timing and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater surface heating amid typical late-summer humidity and weak steering flows. Recent model runs show modest spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating the observed uncertainty; traders weigh these against climatological baselines of ~30°C averages and upcoming 48-hour forecast updates that will likely narrow resolution odds before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$945শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently project Beijing's August 25 high near 31–33°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. Primary differentiators include variable thunderstorm timing and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater surface heating amid typical late-summer humidity and weak steering flows. Recent model runs show modest spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating the observed uncertainty; traders weigh these against climatological baselines of ~30°C averages and upcoming 48-hour forecast updates that will likely narrow resolution odds before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$945শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently project Beijing's August 25 high near 31–33°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. Primary differentiators include variable thunderstorm timing and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater surface heating amid typical late-summer humidity and weak steering flows. Recent model runs show modest spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating the observed uncertainty; traders weigh these against climatological baselines of ~30°C averages and upcoming 48-hour forecast updates that will likely narrow resolution odds before the date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা